@mortilka

#336,01340

0xef92bd4e70b1b5bf992cfafe966f3da472e19b40

~32d· 116 markets · 825 tradesVol: $153,8812026-09-10 22:06:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

93% (107/115)20/20
0.80x (win $197 / loss $245)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.7960/15
Sortino -0.8290/10
$-0.0082 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 180 (115 markets)10/10
29/30 profitable days (97%)10/10
Max DD 177% of peak ($202 / $115)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 93%
Profitable
PnL $+152
DCA Master
Avg 7.0 entries/market
Consistent
29/30 profitable days
Win Streak
48 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#11,561$44Vol: $153,878
SPORTS#533,438$0Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$44
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$153,881
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
116
total markets
Trades
369B / 456S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d

Periods

#2
Today
$9
Vol: $1,916
Week
$112
Vol: $14,257
Month
$65
Vol: $29,954
All Time
$44
Vol: $153,881

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
93%
107W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$152
Win Rate
93%
107W / 8L
Profit Factor
0.8x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-245

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $78 (0.5097601051593822% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 31?$49
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on July 31?$17
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 31?$12
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 27?$11
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 4?$11
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 28?$8
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 4?$7
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?$6
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on July 31?$6
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 31?$5

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 31?$-245

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.041
Sortino
-1604.333
HHI
168
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.008
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.4%
Top-5 markets
16.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
25.0
Active
Markets / Day
3.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.6

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 773s — normal for humanCV 1.62 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock25 trades/day — high frequency3.5 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
7/30/2026, 3:45:38 PM16 trades$3097 min
8/3/2026, 3:00:35 PM10 trades$2203 min
8/3/2026, 1:03:51 PM7 trades$2180 min
7/28/2026, 12:03:31 PM4 trades$1700 min
8/3/2026, 8:05:02 PM9 trades$1330 min
7/26/2026, 6:49:19 PM19 trades$1320 min
7/31/2026, 6:25:03 AM12 trades$1246 min
8/3/2026, 4:24:53 PM23 trades$1232 min
7/30/2026, 1:21:32 PM2 trades$1200 min
8/3/2026, 9:54:30 PM4 trades$1091 min
8/4/2026, 1:09:00 AM12 trades$1093 min
7/27/2026, 4:24:34 PM18 trades$1072 min
7/26/2026, 6:08:22 PM10 trades$1040 min
7/30/2026, 2:58:15 PM4 trades$1040 min
8/3/2026, 3:20:53 PM2 trades$990 min
7/28/2026, 11:49:01 AM7 trades$981 min
7/29/2026, 2:53:32 PM6 trades$970 min
7/27/2026, 3:41:04 PM5 trades$950 min
8/6/2026, 6:22:41 PM12 trades$904 min
7/30/2026, 3:57:59 PM4 trades$890 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-06
07-11
07-17
07-23
07-28
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100