@mostlywrong
#74,252360xe9cf1a43a1c2091b99d6ec1209e29a05d545dbad
~437d· 124 markets · 19874 tradesVol: $9,396,6942026-08-02 07:15:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
62% (71/114)16.1/20
0.99x (win $52,299 / loss $52,744)2.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.0350/15
Sortino -0.0390/10
$-0.0013 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 485 (114 markets)10/10
48/79 profitable days (61%)7.7/10
Max DD 132% of peak ($34,188 / $25,893)0/10
Badges
9Sniper
Win rate 62%
Profitable
PnL $+1,164
Lottery Player
74% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 29.6 entries/market
Whale
$342,437 invested
Consistent
48/79 profitable days
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
95% maker orders
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#1,631,139$-3,281Vol: $8,259,678
🎭 CULTURE#815,996$-10,240Vol: $559,014
📈 ECONOMICS#1,395$3,349Vol: $176,291
💰 FINANCE#632$8,616Vol: $168,609
₿ CRYPTO#15,844$2,798Vol: $127,086
⚽ SPORTS#1,762,820$-284Vol: $104,187
📢 MENTIONS#3,919$206Vol: $1,830
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,164
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,396,694
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
124
total markets
Trades
15638B / 4236S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~437d
Periods
#2Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,164
Vol: $9,396,694
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
62%
71W / 43L events
Realized PnL
$1,164
Win Rate
62%
71W / 43L
Profit Factor
0.99x
Avg Win
$737
Avg Loss
$-1,256
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $17,946 (15.414866478273193% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$8,894
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5,002
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?$4,051
Ethereum ETF begins trading by July 4?$3,362
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3,260
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2,493
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1,972
Fed rate cut by June 12?$1,769
Clarity Act signed into law in 2025?$1,738
Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$1,562
Top Losers
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$-18,025
Will another man win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$-17,473
Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 11-17?$-2,984
Will Marco Rubio win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$-1,564
Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$-1,371
Will Doug Burgum win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$-1,042
Biden nominated by July 21?$-1,021
Alabama vs. Indiana$-960
Fed rate cut by September 18?$-848
BTC above $70,000 next friday?$-698
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.002
Sortino
-0.001
HHI
359
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
14.9%
Half-Kelly
7.5%
Top-1 market
11.1%
Top-5 markets
36.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
21.5
Active
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
27.2m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.5
Bot Detection
#660
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 268s — normal for humanCV 6.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock22 trades/day — high frequency0.1 markets/day — normal95% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 2:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
29.57
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)74.1%
Mid (20-55c)5.7%
High (>55c)20.2%
Sessions
#125/6/2026, 1:09:44 PM18 trades$11,9346 min
7/2/2026, 4:41:25 AM56 trades$10,55210 min
7/3/2024, 8:51:42 AM4 trades$10,36510 min
7/14/2024, 4:17:43 AM42 trades$10,04947 min
5/23/2024, 9:18:02 PM2 trades$8,6021 min
5/8/2026, 4:45:16 AM3 trades$8,1060 min
7/15/2024, 12:46:10 AM36 trades$7,42332 min
7/2/2024, 1:28:17 AM18 trades$7,28517 min
6/30/2024, 3:15:58 PM13 trades$7,13620 min
6/29/2024, 3:19:39 PM3 trades$6,9454 min
6/30/2024, 1:45:29 AM7 trades$6,66813 min
7/15/2024, 2:04:18 AM29 trades$6,16422 min
7/3/2024, 6:00:48 PM1 trades$6,0000 min
1/20/2025, 9:01:33 AM4 trades$5,9935 min
6/25/2024, 8:51:28 PM1 trades$5,9870 min
9/17/2025, 4:56:14 PM1 trades$5,7110 min
7/16/2024, 1:21:25 AM4 trades$5,5046 min
7/16/2024, 2:39:49 AM2 trades$5,4840 min
5/21/2026, 3:32:51 AM54 trades$5,4331 min
6/30/2024, 2:45:51 AM5 trades$5,3558 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-10
03-21
06-21
07-15
01-21
11-05
03-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 7 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 29.57/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L74.1 / M5.7 / H20.2