@mrkinetiq

#8,97580

0xb48b1a8f796ba414672f8974dbfedca5c6c504eb

~190d· 476 markets · 4716 tradesVol: $1,252,7002026-08-04 18:54:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

80
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (249/437)13.5/20
1.59x (win $196,981 / loss $123,814)9.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.55015/15
Sortino 4.36110/10
$+0.1449 per $1 invested7.2/10
HHI 184 (437 markets)10/10
80/134 profitable days (60%)7.4/10
Max DD 37% of peak ($31,963 / $85,837)6.6/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+17,231
DCA Master
Avg 12.9 entries/market
Whale
$505,035 invested
High Roller
$2,012/day
Win Streak
18 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
82% maker orders

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#2,057$21,730Vol: $739,274
SPORTS#51,607$601Vol: $285,166
📈 ECONOMICS#673,957$-376Vol: $74,216
CRYPTO#9,931$4,857Vol: $51,084
🎭 CULTURE#808,909$-759Vol: $37,570
💰 FINANCE#655,825$-1,708Vol: $15,870
💻 TECH#256,691$-658Vol: $11,874

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$17,231
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,252,700
Total Redeem
$27,039
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
476
total markets
Trades
3431B / 1285S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~190d

Periods

#2
Today
$1,892
Vol: $5,369
Week
$1,646
Vol: $6,626
Month
$4,795
Vol: $6,626
All Time
$17,231
Vol: $1,252,700

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
249W / 187L events
Realized PnL
$17,231
Win Rate
57%
249W / 187L
Profit Factor
1.59x
Avg Win
$791
Avg Loss
$-680

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $91,635 (5.318165541632643% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$39,214
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30,261
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$22,161
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$18,775
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$4,423
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$4,182
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$3,600
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3,578
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$2,433
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$2,191

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-22,622
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-7,050
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-5,853
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-5,743
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,024
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-3,519
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-3,141
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-2,864
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-2,821
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$-2,458

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.081
Sortino
0.160
HHI
299
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.109
Kelly %
2.8%
Half-Kelly
1.4%
Top-1 market
7.2%
Top-5 markets
28.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
18.8
Active
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.2

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 262s — normal for humanCV 2.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock19 trades/day — very active1.9 markets/day — normal82% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.89
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.8%
Mid (20-55c)29.6%
High (>55c)64.6%

Sessions

#12
6/11/2026, 8:12:31 PM53 trades$10,32016 min
6/14/2026, 9:36:52 PM9 trades$8,9929 min
4/7/2026, 10:12:57 PM3 trades$6,5320 min
4/6/2026, 5:53:41 PM4 trades$6,0990 min
6/14/2026, 9:52:22 PM16 trades$5,4618 min
6/27/2026, 10:13:25 AM6 trades$5,2138 min
4/11/2026, 4:39:01 PM17 trades$5,0928 min
5/15/2026, 6:06:29 AM4 trades$5,0251 min
5/27/2026, 1:05:41 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
6/3/2026, 7:52:40 PM1 trades$4,9850 min
4/8/2026, 5:59:09 AM21 trades$4,9223 min
7/23/2026, 8:32:42 PM22 trades$4,8589 min
7/1/2026, 8:02:20 PM7 trades$4,7662 min
6/26/2026, 8:54:22 PM15 trades$4,6846 min
4/1/2026, 10:35:51 AM2 trades$4,3740 min
6/1/2026, 12:27:14 PM4 trades$4,3681 min
12/9/2025, 6:36:44 PM1 trades$4,1080 min
5/25/2026, 5:54:37 PM1 trades$3,9880 min
6/2/2026, 12:58:47 PM1 trades$3,9680 min
4/3/2026, 4:15:15 PM7 trades$3,8584 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-28
02-07
03-03
04-02
05-02
06-17
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 171 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.89/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.8 / M29.6 / H64.6