mrpcsol

@mrpcsol

#2,472,64812

0x3105c03566728f0bf2ab73c35f0074e9db3df7b0

~15d· 31 markets · 127 tradesVol: $19,6332026-10-08 03:47:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (12/30)5/20
0.69x (win $77 / loss $112)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.4090/15
Sortino -3.1440/10
$-0.0713 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1591 (30 markets)4.5/10
12/30 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($50 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Profitable
PnL $+78

Categories

4
💰 FINANCE#14,086$159Vol: $12,964
₿ CRYPTO#1,568,259$-189Vol: $4,654
⚽ SPORTS#1,543,995$-29Vol: $1,959
🏛️ POLITICS#1,111,952$-4Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-63
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,633
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
31
total markets
Trades
52B / 75S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d

Periods

#2
Week
$-4
Vol: $5
Month
$-231
Vol: $7,479
All Time
$-63
Vol: $19,633

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
12W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$78
Win Rate
40%
12W / 18L
Profit Factor
0.69x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $46 (0.5959257349149045% of PnL)

Top Winners

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 13?$27
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$10
Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Sky$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 12AM ET$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1

Top Losers

Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers$-26
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$-8
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$-6
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$-6
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.124
Sortino
-0.168
HHI
759
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.101
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.5%
Top-5 markets
47.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
35
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.6

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 798s — normal for humanCV 1.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule6 trades/day — normal1.5 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.67
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.9%
Mid (20-55c)34.6%
High (>55c)63.5%

Sessions

#12
7/28/2026, 5:41:14 PM2 trades$1500 min
7/29/2026, 7:31:24 AM12 trades$1310 min
8/13/2026, 1:34:16 PM2 trades$1010 min
7/29/2026, 7:20:50 AM5 trades$930 min
8/13/2026, 9:44:22 AM2 trades$630 min
7/27/2026, 10:22:19 AM10 trades$315 min
7/30/2026, 4:45:51 AM4 trades$291 min
7/26/2026, 7:33:51 PM11 trades$2214 min
8/7/2026, 12:39:22 PM2 trades$190 min
7/26/2026, 6:37:12 PM5 trades$182 min
7/27/2026, 10:05:37 AM5 trades$173 min
7/26/2026, 6:57:22 PM8 trades$179 min
8/8/2026, 6:57:15 PM2 trades$150 min
7/26/2026, 5:01:30 PM4 trades$142 min
7/26/2026, 2:56:07 PM3 trades$100 min
7/26/2026, 2:26:51 PM3 trades$100 min
7/24/2026, 12:28:49 PM4 trades$100 min
8/7/2026, 11:41:37 AM2 trades$100 min
7/28/2026, 5:47:20 PM2 trades$80 min
8/6/2026, 9:32:41 AM2 trades$60 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-07-24 12:35:00
2026-07-26 18:40:00
2026-07-26 20:50:00
2026-07-31 05:20:00
2026-08-05 18:25:00
2026-08-09 12:20:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.67/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.9 / M34.6 / H63.5