@mrpuck

#3,021,53340

0x774be121e9c8d5cfc4a27709a3d3e243b6be37c3

~40d· 50 markets · 347 tradesVol: $48,2512026-08-23 15:18:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

94% (47/50)20/20
0.69x (win $582 / loss $842)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4720/15
Sortino -1.5190/10
$-0.0212 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 353 (50 markets)10/10
31/34 profitable days (91%)10/10
Max DD 183% of peak ($789 / $432)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 94%
DCA Master
Avg 6.9 entries/market
Consistent
31/34 profitable days
Win Streak
21 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

5
🌤️ WEATHER#300,186$-624Vol: $37,646
🎭 CULTURE#786,627$-97Vol: $4,045
SPORTS#1,804,461$-478Vol: $3,929
CRYPTO#1,615,895$-534Vol: $2,209
💰 FINANCE#92,591$3Vol: $219

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,883
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$48,251
Total Redeem
$1,325
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
50
total markets
Trades
88B / 259S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~40d

Periods

#2
Week
$-67
Vol: $0
Month
$-163
Vol: $15,790
All Time
$-1,883
Vol: $48,251

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
94%
47W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$-1,596
Win Rate
94%
47W / 3L
Profit Factor
0.69x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-281

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $125 (0.07862732689644802% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 14?$55
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$40
Pacers vs. Cavaliers$30
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$27
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$24
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$22
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$22
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 3?$20
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 13?$20
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on August 3?$19

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-402
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 16?$-388
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs$-52

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.076
Sortino
-0.038
HHI
296
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.021
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.8%
Top-5 markets
22.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.7h
between trades
Avg Gap
6.1h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 13226s — normal for humanCV 0.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours22/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.94
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.1%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)98.9%

Sessions

#12
4/6/2026, 12:36:51 AM2 trades$1,0440 min
4/5/2026, 11:19:39 PM2 trades$1,0150 min
4/5/2026, 9:59:47 PM3 trades$9610 min
5/13/2026, 5:16:58 PM5 trades$6721 min
5/14/2026, 12:00:56 PM5 trades$6101 min
5/12/2026, 8:15:47 AM5 trades$6051 min
5/14/2026, 12:28:31 AM15 trades$5701 min
5/9/2026, 3:41:33 PM11 trades$5621 min
5/6/2026, 3:21:55 PM6 trades$5411 min
5/12/2026, 3:07:57 PM10 trades$5261 min
5/10/2026, 11:10:18 PM6 trades$5241 min
4/6/2026, 12:08:05 AM3 trades$5230 min
5/11/2026, 11:45:32 AM15 trades$5171 min
8/5/2026, 12:59:38 PM7 trades$5150 min
5/13/2026, 5:36:57 PM3 trades$4300 min
5/12/2026, 3:51:08 PM12 trades$4271 min
8/5/2026, 9:49:29 PM5 trades$4110 min
5/11/2026, 3:32:48 PM2 trades$3780 min
4/5/2026, 3:44:23 AM5 trades$3741 min
8/3/2026, 3:35:06 PM11 trades$3721 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-01
05-01
05-06
05-12
06-15
07-19
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 32 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
58% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
74.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.94/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.1 / M0 / H98.9