@muchuan

#140,55254

0xd0243cec07299201dfd5138609e105923f25527e

~70d· 77 markets · 491 tradesVol: $122,1182026-09-10 23:02:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

54
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (39/66)14.5/20
1.28x (win $1,493 / loss $1,165)6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.00915/15
Sortino 1.97310/10
$+0.0154 per $1 invested0.8/10
HHI 4032 (66 markets)0/10
27/46 profitable days (59%)7.2/10
Max DD 127% of peak ($941 / $738)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+340
Lottery Player
36% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 7.3 entries/market
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
92% maker orders

Categories

9
⚽ SPORTS#1,658,721$-72Vol: $53,015
🏛️ POLITICS#23,031$686Vol: $51,326
₿ CRYPTO#1,229,645$-14Vol: $9,174
💰 FINANCE#562,147$-6Vol: $2,154
📈 ECONOMICS#666,628$-88Vol: $1,165
💻 TECH#255,237$-51Vol: $1,160
🎭 CULTURE#139,591$2Vol: $368
📢 MENTIONS#120,715$-6Vol: $253
🌤️ WEATHER#264,212$-18Vol: $210

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$340
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$122,118
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
77
total markets
Trades
331B / 160S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~70d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$5
Vol: $0
Month
$-9
Vol: $0
All Time
$340
Vol: $122,118

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
39W / 27L events
Realized PnL
$340
Win Rate
59%
39W / 27L
Profit Factor
1.28x
Avg Win
$38
Avg Loss
$-47

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,082 (3.186627393225332% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$552
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?$288
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$242
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$113
Will Trump win no swing states?$102
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?$93
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? $25
Will Ethereum hit $3,000 in December?$12
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$11
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5$10

Top Losers

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-204
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-157
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-112
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-112
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$-95
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$-95
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$-84
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-68
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$-60
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 7AM ET$-53

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.052
Sortino
0.077
HHI
2108
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.018
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
44.4%
Top-5 markets
65%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 374s — normal for humanCV 2.95 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal92% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.27
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)36.3%
Mid (20-55c)13.9%
High (>55c)49.8%

Sessions

#12
11/3/2024, 12:17:51 PM6 trades$3,1625 min
11/3/2024, 6:39:33 AM4 trades$2,2747 min
11/3/2024, 2:08:29 PM1 trades$1,4820 min
11/6/2024, 1:35:07 AM1 trades$1,2650 min
10/28/2024, 3:15:18 PM2 trades$1,2045 min
10/28/2024, 9:09:36 AM1 trades$1,1610 min
11/2/2024, 4:06:00 AM1 trades$1,1240 min
6/3/2026, 7:55:00 PM1 trades$1,0880 min
11/1/2024, 6:44:52 AM5 trades$1,0230 min
11/1/2024, 2:52:36 AM6 trades$1,0220 min
11/1/2024, 6:20:00 AM12 trades$9300 min
11/1/2024, 6:14:20 AM1 trades$9270 min
11/3/2024, 9:56:48 AM2 trades$9170 min
11/3/2024, 9:34:10 AM1 trades$9140 min
11/1/2024, 6:00:26 AM2 trades$9133 min
11/4/2024, 11:09:03 PM1 trades$9000 min
11/3/2024, 9:10:08 AM14 trades$8471 min
6/3/2026, 6:18:09 PM8 trades$7933 min
11/3/2024, 9:17:28 PM1 trades$7770 min
10/31/2024, 4:33:06 AM6 trades$6620 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-21
11-02
12-23
07-31
12-29
06-04
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 626 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.27/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L36.3 / M13.9 / H49.8