@muxuebingcheng311
#3,070,65200x9c96213c44294885c6849ef0d7d0bad44c108708
~35d· 25 markets · 1907 tradesVol: $2,310,8992026-08-04 13:51:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
18% (3/17)0/20
0.04x (win $1,777 / loss $47,849)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -10.1090/15
Sortino -8.9430/10
$-0.2111 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 5309 (17 markets)0/10
2/7 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 3122% of peak ($47,596 / $1,524)0/10
Badges
4Lottery Player
42% entries < $0.20
Whale
$218,214 invested
High Roller
$2,834/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
4🏛️ POLITICS#1,642,781$-41,066Vol: $2,246,632
💰 FINANCE#650,071$-510Vol: $40,664
🌤️ WEATHER#279,919$-66Vol: $22,033
₿ CRYPTO#162,167$27Vol: $1,570
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-41,616
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,310,899
Total Redeem
$283
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
25
total markets
Trades
1036B / 871S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~35d
Periods
#2Today
$-547
Vol: $0
Week
$-424
Vol: $0
Month
$-1,376
Vol: $0
All Time
$-41,616
Vol: $2,310,899
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
18%
3W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$-41,192
Win Rate
18%
3W / 14L
Profit Factor
0.04x
Avg Win
$592
Avg Loss
$-3,418
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,777 (0.043151526804379246% of PnL)
Top Winners
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$1,524
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?$251
Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?$2
Top Losers
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-23,747
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$-8,897
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$-3,212
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$-2,723
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$-2,560
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?$-2,196
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-1,586
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?$-1,318
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?$-639
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?$-608
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.490
Sortino
-0.433
HHI
523
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.567
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.4%
Top-5 markets
34.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
24.8
Active
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
36.2m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
29.7
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 130s — normal for humanCV 4.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock25 trades/day — high frequency0.3 markets/day — normal33% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 7:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
50.82
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)42.5%
Mid (20-55c)6.4%
High (>55c)51.2%
Sessions
#124/5/2026, 7:24:47 AM252 trades$244,0961 min
4/5/2026, 8:21:23 AM221 trades$174,42511 min
4/5/2026, 7:32:33 AM150 trades$132,4775 min
6/19/2026, 3:26:46 AM24 trades$71,1380 min
4/28/2026, 8:12:48 PM42 trades$47,8449 min
4/7/2026, 11:21:39 PM159 trades$42,81723 min
4/22/2026, 8:37:58 PM40 trades$27,9450 min
4/28/2026, 7:48:14 PM19 trades$26,2663 min
4/5/2026, 8:44:01 AM23 trades$23,4160 min
4/14/2026, 1:44:19 PM72 trades$19,9950 min
4/5/2026, 7:18:11 AM2 trades$15,5240 min
4/28/2026, 4:33:32 PM1 trades$15,0350 min
4/21/2026, 11:26:42 AM67 trades$12,8280 min
6/2/2026, 2:34:37 PM21 trades$12,0150 min
4/4/2026, 1:54:13 AM11 trades$11,4660 min
4/7/2026, 6:43:51 AM2 trades$11,2610 min
4/7/2026, 9:42:03 PM44 trades$9,0253 min
5/6/2026, 2:57:18 AM10 trades$8,5480 min
4/23/2026, 10:21:58 AM20 trades$8,1830 min
4/5/2026, 11:46:43 AM36 trades$6,1860 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-05
04-06
04-07
04-08
04-15
04-16
04-28
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 23 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 50.82/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L42.5 / M6.4 / H51.2