@mvma
790x65d1dfacd31f0a75083db245fefe1856603c0e74
~150d· 78 markets · 1632 trades2026-08-02 09:48:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
79
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
54% (32/59)12.1/20
3.48x (win $5,606 / loss $1,609)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.56815/15
Sortino 27.51510/10
$+0.0338 per $1 invested1.7/10
HHI 1043 (59 markets)7.3/10
25/40 profitable days (62%)8.1/10
Max DD 7% of peak ($287 / $3,997)10/10
Badges
7Profitable
PnL $+7,614
DCA Master
Avg 12.6 entries/market
Whale
$118,123 invested
Consistent
25/40 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 7%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$7,614
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$118,123
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
78
total markets
Trades
961B / 671S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~150d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
54%
32W / 27L events
Realized PnL
$7,614
Win Rate
54%
32W / 27L
Profit Factor
3.48x
Avg Win
$175
Avg Loss
$-70
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,667 (0.3502739747617497% of PnL)
Top Winners
Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?$1,477
Brazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?$604
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$586
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?$498
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$370
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$314
Will less than 100k jobs be added in February?$264
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$230
Will the May 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?$152
Will the US add between 200-250k jobs in March?$137
Top Losers
Will 200-250k jobs be added in February?$-237
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$-223
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$-139
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$-101
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in February?$-100
Will the March 2025 unemployment rate be between 4.1%?$-100
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-96
Will 250-300k jobs be added in February?$-80
Will the May 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%?$-69
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$-65
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.340
Sortino
1.190
HHI
567
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.052
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.7%
Top-5 markets
42.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.8
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 154s — normal for humanCV 3.36 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 1:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
12.59
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)28.5%
Mid (20-55c)18.7%
High (>55c)52.8%
Sessions
#126/4/2026, 12:32:48 AM6 trades$12,1011 min
7/29/2026, 6:00:17 PM2 trades$8,0000 min
5/4/2026, 3:58:30 PM34 trades$7,8963 min
7/2/2026, 12:30:11 PM11 trades$7,1280 min
12/20/2025, 10:46:35 PM6 trades$6,2533 min
12/16/2025, 1:38:07 PM6 trades$5,3702 min
2/12/2026, 4:22:49 PM1 trades$5,0010 min
12/16/2025, 1:30:25 PM1 trades$5,0000 min
2/11/2026, 1:30:29 PM1 trades$4,4030 min
4/10/2026, 1:10:09 AM169 trades$4,01916 min
11/17/2025, 4:05:51 PM9 trades$3,6546 min
11/14/2025, 12:50:22 PM6 trades$3,5704 min
1/9/2026, 11:31:00 AM2 trades$3,5490 min
2/13/2026, 1:30:47 PM3 trades$3,5000 min
2/13/2026, 1:40:07 PM5 trades$3,4880 min
5/28/2026, 5:37:12 PM36 trades$3,4648 min
5/19/2026, 8:32:03 PM21 trades$3,3052 min
12/15/2025, 8:47:59 PM3 trades$3,2801 min
11/14/2025, 6:26:10 PM2 trades$3,1085 min
11/11/2025, 4:52:52 PM25 trades$2,81420 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-06
04-01
06-06
07-08
10-31
12-12
02-13
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.59/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L28.5 / M18.7 / H52.8