@mysterygambler216

#2,872,16151

0x8429da7726f432117309651a774c60f5487d64bd

~121d· 143 markets · 473 tradesVol: $138,0542026-09-10 21:16:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

51
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (80/135)14.6/20
1.07x (win $4,477 / loss $4,178)3.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4598.6/15
Sortino 0.6236.2/10
$+0.0047 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 255 (135 markets)10/10
51/83 profitable days (61%)7.9/10
Max DD 245% of peak ($1,023 / $417)0/10

Badges

4
Whale
$63,251 invested
Consistent
51/83 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,620,487$-690Vol: $44,395
📈 ECONOMICS#4,815$485Vol: $29,217
⚽ SPORTS#1,820,156$-517Vol: $22,049
🎭 CULTURE#806,303$-207Vol: $20,174
💻 TECH#2,592$442Vol: $10,240
₿ CRYPTO#379,351$2Vol: $7,091
💰 FINANCE#17,498$112Vol: $2,069

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-393
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$138,054
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
143
total markets
Trades
209B / 264S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~121d

Periods

#2
Today
$-297
Vol: $1,257
Week
$-297
Vol: $1,748
Month
$-271
Vol: $2,836
All Time
$-393
Vol: $138,054

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
80W / 55L events
Realized PnL
$-158
Win Rate
59%
80W / 55L
Profit Factor
1.07x
Avg Win
$56
Avg Loss
$-76

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,145 (7.240657603540941% of PnL)

Top Winners

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$407
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$382
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?$356
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$307
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$294
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$267
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$249
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$164
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?$133
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$117

Top Losers

Iran strike on Israel by Friday?$-535
Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$-469
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-03-09?$-393
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$-340
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$-318
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?$-240
Will the New Democrats win the second most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?$-195
Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$-122
Will egg prices be greater than $5 for January?$-110
Will Elon or Trump apologize first?$-110

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.024
Sortino
0.026
HHI
227
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.005
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.6%
Top-5 markets
25.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
55.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.0h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3330s — normal for humanCV 1.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.19
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.3%
Mid (20-55c)16.3%
High (>55c)67.5%

Sessions

#12
12/6/2025, 6:03:11 PM1 trades$4,1810 min
7/16/2025, 8:04:27 AM2 trades$4,1281 min
1/13/2026, 11:23:54 PM1 trades$3,4480 min
2/28/2026, 8:43:19 PM1 trades$3,0000 min
7/4/2025, 9:05:27 AM3 trades$2,3871 min
6/15/2025, 6:58:40 PM6 trades$2,2777 min
5/9/2025, 12:07:19 PM1 trades$2,2240 min
5/8/2025, 5:32:35 PM1 trades$2,2150 min
5/7/2025, 6:01:48 PM1 trades$2,2070 min
6/15/2025, 1:39:43 AM1 trades$2,1260 min
11/21/2025, 1:08:45 AM1 trades$1,9290 min
11/22/2025, 9:59:09 AM1 trades$1,8500 min
6/8/2025, 9:14:37 AM2 trades$1,6005 min
12/1/2025, 9:29:40 AM1 trades$1,5320 min
3/19/2026, 8:43:37 AM2 trades$1,5131 min
3/5/2026, 9:19:13 AM1 trades$1,3760 min
6/15/2025, 12:38:01 AM1 trades$1,3000 min
11/18/2025, 4:09:27 PM1 trades$1,2820 min
6/11/2025, 1:12:41 PM2 trades$1,2364 min
5/17/2025, 4:35:56 PM3 trades$1,1501 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-06
02-12
03-12
04-28
06-05
12-01
05-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.19/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.3 / M16.3 / H67.5