@nefariouskermit

#3,035,16220

0x2a6f7b6306c81908a1a25fbeef624d6fe1db2351

~8d· 19 markets · 63 tradesVol: $164,1722026-10-06 08:04:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (7/16)6.9/20
0.46x (win $20 / loss $44)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.1000 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 970 (16 markets)7.6/10
3/6 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 839% of peak ($27 / $3)0/10

Badges

2
Diamond Hands
10% sells
🏗️Market Maker
90% maker orders

Categories

9
₿ CRYPTO#42,382$463Vol: $105,817
🌤️ WEATHER#301,383$-618Vol: $31,846
🏛️ POLITICS#1,603,936$-392Vol: $10,430
💰 FINANCE#653,275$-226Vol: $6,497
🎭 CULTURE#795,232$-124Vol: $2,682
📈 ECONOMICS#666,687$-67Vol: $2,355
💻 TECH#262,005$-79Vol: $2,129
⚽ SPORTS#1,572,405$-35Vol: $1,194
📢 MENTIONS#155,879$-33Vol: $431

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,110
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$164,172
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
19
total markets
Trades
57B / 6S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~8d

Periods

#2
Today
$-5
Vol: $209
Week
$-106
Vol: $48,065
Month
$186
Vol: $128,986
All Time
$-1,110
Vol: $164,172

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
7W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$-90
Win Rate
44%
7W / 9L
Profit Factor
0.46x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $17 (0.18686196182867287% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 23?$7
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on August 23?$7
Will Yen Bailey be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?$3
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?$3
Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 21?$0
Map Handicap: INOX (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Prospect (+1.5)$0

Top Losers

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 24?$-16
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on August 21?$-14
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?$-5
Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?$-3
Will Steve Friess be the WY-AL Republican nominee?$-2
Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?$-2
Will Scott Singer be the FL-25 Republican nominee?$-1
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.340
Sortino
-1.525
HHI
486
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.134
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10%
Top-5 markets
41.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
16.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.97
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
41
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 994s — normal for humanCV 0.97 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours19/24 hours — extended activity4 trades/day — normal1.3 markets/day — normal90% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.62
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)42.1%
High (>55c)57.9%

Sessions

#12
8/20/2026, 8:49:25 AM2 trades$200 min
8/24/2026, 1:01:52 AM2 trades$200 min
8/20/2026, 8:14:16 AM4 trades$200 min
8/29/2026, 6:13:37 AM2 trades$190 min
8/22/2026, 10:32:30 PM3 trades$180 min
8/29/2026, 7:10:19 AM1 trades$150 min
8/29/2026, 9:23:15 PM1 trades$150 min
8/31/2026, 2:46:04 AM1 trades$120 min
8/22/2026, 9:43:15 PM2 trades$120 min
8/24/2026, 12:46:34 AM1 trades$110 min
8/22/2026, 8:20:54 PM1 trades$110 min
8/22/2026, 9:11:25 PM1 trades$90 min
8/18/2026, 12:23:24 PM3 trades$86 min
8/20/2026, 8:24:27 AM1 trades$70 min
8/18/2026, 5:31:58 AM2 trades$63 min
8/18/2026, 6:06:48 AM3 trades$60 min
8/18/2026, 5:45:43 AM3 trades$53 min
8/18/2026, 6:46:15 AM2 trades$50 min
8/18/2026, 1:23:07 PM3 trades$40 min
8/18/2026, 5:05:57 PM1 trades$40 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-08-18 00:00:00
2026-08-18 16:30:00
2026-08-18 23:59:00
2026-08-21 12:00:00
2026-08-23 12:00:00
2026-08-24 20:00:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
25% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.62/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M42.1 / H57.9