@nellojello
#27,193760xa8ae9f8f2a92cb27a73791bb816e65071ca38eb7
~95d· 203 markets · 1151 tradesVol: $343,7952026-08-04 14:07:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
76
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
46% (81/176)8/20
2.86x (win $20,763 / loss $7,257)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.41615/15
Sortino 22.91010/10
$+0.1178 per $1 invested5.9/10
HHI 1269 (176 markets)6.2/10
39/71 profitable days (55%)6.2/10
Max DD 12% of peak ($1,598 / $13,519)10/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+4,838
Lottery Player
42% entries < $0.20
Whale
$114,644 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 12%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8📈 ECONOMICS#1,469$3,122Vol: $152,597
🏛️ POLITICS#5,715$5,780Vol: $102,755
⚽ SPORTS#1,670,635$-96Vol: $32,749
₿ CRYPTO#1,636,282$-1,536Vol: $17,870
💰 FINANCE#656,985$-2,983Vol: $17,636
🎭 CULTURE#6,560$671Vol: $16,163
🌤️ WEATHER#9,821$55Vol: $2,690
📢 MENTIONS#172,561$-415Vol: $1,335
Overview
#1Net PnL
$4,597
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$343,795
Total Redeem
$500
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
203
total markets
Trades
629B / 522S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~95d
Periods
#2Today
$-81
Vol: $2,606
Week
$-5
Vol: $6,854
Month
$82
Vol: $6,854
All Time
$4,597
Vol: $343,795
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
46%
81W / 95L events
Realized PnL
$4,838
Win Rate
46%
81W / 95L
Profit Factor
2.86x
Avg Win
$256
Avg Loss
$-81
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,168 (1.4816365846197095% of PnL)
Top Winners
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$3,633
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2,608
US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?$927
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$870
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?$820
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?$710
T20 World Cup: India vs South Africa$670
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$639
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$574
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$565
Top Losers
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-533
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4?$-514
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?$-479
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?$-453
Will Powell say "Median" during January press conference?$-400
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?$-352
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$-270
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealand$-244
Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tien$-238
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on March 23?$-238
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.281
Sortino
1.074
HHI
371
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.163
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.5%
Top-5 markets
35%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
5.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.7
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 346s — normal for humanCV 3.10 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.9
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)41.7%
Mid (20-55c)17.2%
High (>55c)41.2%
Sessions
#127/29/2026, 9:17:00 AM13 trades$50,9351 min
6/4/2026, 7:06:13 PM20 trades$19,6266 min
6/20/2026, 1:37:29 PM5 trades$17,8360 min
5/26/2026, 9:27:55 PM57 trades$11,7600 min
7/22/2026, 8:49:36 AM18 trades$4,7017 min
5/12/2026, 1:09:14 PM4 trades$4,5201 min
7/29/2026, 1:01:21 PM26 trades$3,4891 min
5/28/2026, 9:06:05 AM10 trades$3,4890 min
6/22/2026, 9:40:53 PM20 trades$3,4350 min
7/13/2026, 6:21:19 PM15 trades$3,1214 min
7/3/2026, 4:18:35 PM15 trades$2,9682 min
7/21/2026, 4:35:55 PM4 trades$2,7732 min
4/22/2026, 9:25:56 AM14 trades$2,7011 min
7/13/2026, 7:14:13 PM7 trades$2,6932 min
4/27/2026, 8:45:26 PM4 trades$2,4900 min
7/25/2026, 8:03:27 AM12 trades$2,1462 min
7/29/2026, 10:58:42 PM53 trades$2,1198 min
7/4/2026, 10:59:05 AM5 trades$2,0260 min
6/25/2026, 9:30:49 AM5 trades$1,8904 min
7/4/2026, 6:50:26 AM5 trades$1,8780 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-12
01-24
02-12
03-03
04-15
07-01
07-25
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 19 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.9/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L41.7 / M17.2 / H41.2