@ngmai25

#147,64439

0x8af96156b730f8f1d072a24d420ee6c1971cc3e8

~128d· 190 markets · 964 tradesVol: $253,152 @bitcoincarmine2026-10-04 05:11:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (66/184)2.9/20
1.23x (win $10,257 / loss $8,368)5.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.26315/15
Sortino 2.54610/10
$+0.0955 per $1 invested4.8/10
HHI 2708 (184 markets)0/10
33/95 profitable days (35%)1.2/10
Max DD 129% of peak ($2,627 / $2,035)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+838
Lottery Player
48% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
💰 FINANCE#650,158$-178Vol: $134,984
⚽ SPORTS#27,101$1,617Vol: $45,990
₿ CRYPTO#1,575,675$-209Vol: $25,322
🎭 CULTURE#803,043$-197Vol: $18,508
💻 TECH#269,337$-297Vol: $14,807
📈 ECONOMICS#13,601$85Vol: $10,960
🏛️ POLITICS#1,564,367$-171Vol: $1,219
📢 MENTIONS#175,027$-225Vol: $1,163

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$276
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$253,152
Total Redeem
$1,640
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
190
total markets
Trades
614B / 350S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~128d

Periods

#2
Week
$-326
Vol: $1,532
Month
$-523
Vol: $10,593
All Time
$276
Vol: $253,152

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
65W / 119L events
Realized PnL
$838
Win Rate
35%
65W / 119L
Profit Factor
1.23x
Avg Win
$155
Avg Loss
$-71

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,613 (3.1181153107135615% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$899
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$874
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$840
Will St. John’s win the 2025-2026 Big East Men’s Basketball regular season championship?$735
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)$613
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?$563
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$482
VCU Rams vs. Saint Louis Billikens$470
Providence Friars vs. Butler Bulldogs$460
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$355

Top Losers

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$-550
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?$-525
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-500
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$-484
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-4.5)$-350
Spread: Germany (-3.5)$-293
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$-288
Providence Friars vs. Colorado Buffaloes$-257
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils$-250
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$-236

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.066
Sortino
0.141
HHI
277
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.087
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.3%
Top-5 markets
29%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 270s — normal for humanCV 1.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal33% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.08
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)48.4%
Mid (20-55c)25.2%
High (>55c)26.4%

Sessions

#12
6/1/2026, 11:16:01 PM6 trades$20,8671 min
4/6/2026, 3:07:57 AM2 trades$1,4290 min
2/8/2026, 10:49:31 PM3 trades$1,4061 min
4/28/2026, 1:15:54 AM2 trades$1,3160 min
7/1/2026, 10:48:16 PM28 trades$1,1823 min
4/7/2026, 10:55:29 PM6 trades$9866 min
9/4/2026, 11:41:24 PM34 trades$9652 min
4/13/2026, 12:31:59 AM19 trades$9080 min
4/23/2026, 10:57:12 AM13 trades$9033 min
5/31/2026, 12:39:40 AM5 trades$7180 min
5/3/2026, 4:56:50 PM10 trades$6560 min
7/1/2026, 5:58:13 PM7 trades$6241 min
7/25/2026, 12:34:03 AM4 trades$6110 min
3/7/2026, 4:22:47 AM12 trades$60713 min
5/1/2026, 12:32:08 PM3 trades$5470 min
6/14/2026, 1:01:03 PM6 trades$5410 min
3/7/2026, 5:21:47 AM10 trades$4855 min
3/6/2026, 3:27:23 AM1 trades$4590 min
3/7/2026, 4:42:19 AM23 trades$42811 min
5/2/2026, 1:44:02 AM6 trades$4033 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-11
11-06
12-16
01-30
03-05
03-28
07-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 187 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.08/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L48.4 / M25.2 / H26.4