@nibelung.retired
#3,070,221970xcbab47f889ffffbb603f600a5feeb0eca0cc9a8a
~197d· 448 markets · 6618 tradesVol: $3,390,9372026-08-04 18:12:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
97
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
82% (353/429)20/20
2.65x (win $602,840 / loss $227,797)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.50215/15
Sortino 7.01910/10
$+0.1480 per $1 invested7.4/10
HHI 389 (429 markets)10/10
94/130 profitable days (72%)10/10
Max DD 22% of peak ($103,925 / $477,830)9.7/10
Badges
9Sniper
Win rate 82%
DCA Master
Avg 17.5 entries/market
Whale
$2,534,445 invested
Consistent
94/130 profitable days
High Roller
$5,922/day
Cool Head
Max DD 22%
Win Streak
30 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
73% maker orders
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#1,032$48,314Vol: $2,032,075
💰 FINANCE#658,643$-88,279Vol: $782,210
₿ CRYPTO#4,592$10,772Vol: $298,646
⚽ SPORTS#1,865,637$-3,265Vol: $235,005
🎭 CULTURE#8,233$471Vol: $19,921
🌤️ WEATHER#21,154$12Vol: $5,756
📈 ECONOMICS#21,127$37Vol: $3,260
📢 MENTIONS#9,311$48Vol: $2,447
💻 TECH#17,296$11Vol: $100
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-34,483
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,390,937
Total Redeem
$52,327
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
448
total markets
Trades
4755B / 1863S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~197d
Periods
#2Today
$-264
Vol: $0
Week
$290
Vol: $0
Month
$-556
Vol: $0
All Time
$-34,483
Vol: $3,390,937
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
82%
353W / 76L events
Realized PnL
$-34,483
Win Rate
82%
353W / 76L
Profit Factor
2.65x
Avg Win
$1,708
Avg Loss
$-3,121
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $487,700 (14.143176513200842% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$400,491
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$64,131
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$23,077
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$8,930
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?$7,021
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$6,280
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5,198
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$5,149
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$4,409
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$3,836
Top Losers
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?$-75,075
Spurs vs. Knicks$-29,082
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$-25,252
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-23,136
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?$-22,148
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$-8,633
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-6,401
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5$-5,066
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-4,191
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$-3,737
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.078
Sortino
0.204
HHI
836
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.105
Kelly %
11.4%
Half-Kelly
5.7%
Top-1 market
17.4%
Top-5 markets
52.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
15.5
Active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
44.9m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.32
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.7
Bot Detection
#640
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 188s — normal for humanCV 4.32 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock15 trades/day — very active1.0 markets/day — normal73% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 1:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
17.48
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)8.7%
Mid (20-55c)5.1%
High (>55c)86.3%
Sessions
#126/2/2026, 3:55:00 PM2 trades$82,6220 min
6/6/2026, 4:49:04 PM5 trades$55,8464 min
6/4/2026, 12:10:45 PM4 trades$50,9560 min
6/5/2026, 1:16:46 PM9 trades$50,0550 min
4/1/2026, 1:28:27 PM9 trades$49,6450 min
6/5/2026, 11:15:33 PM3 trades$45,7640 min
6/6/2026, 5:47:07 PM6 trades$44,7371 min
5/30/2026, 5:20:00 PM5 trades$44,0181 min
6/1/2026, 12:06:58 PM17 trades$42,5513 min
5/6/2026, 9:56:34 AM5 trades$39,9680 min
4/29/2026, 2:08:56 PM29 trades$33,98017 min
6/14/2026, 9:30:09 PM12 trades$33,6458 min
5/1/2026, 6:27:54 AM23 trades$33,02610 min
6/1/2026, 9:14:58 PM5 trades$30,2924 min
6/14/2026, 5:59:24 PM2 trades$29,9061 min
5/31/2026, 9:52:07 PM25 trades$29,43313 min
3/27/2026, 5:10:19 PM4 trades$28,7701 min
6/10/2026, 10:20:28 PM12 trades$28,5891 min
4/1/2026, 5:45:03 PM25 trades$28,57821 min
6/15/2026, 9:25:16 PM4 trades$28,2302 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-16
02-05
02-27
03-21
04-25
05-31
06-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 9 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.48/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.7 / M5.1 / H86.3