@nickxm

#315,70840

0x119509d7db59cc9ad62970b828eb0e3af98eb128

~36d· 97 markets · 272 tradesVol: $19,2692026-08-04 21:45:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

82% (80/97)20/20
0.45x (win $25 / loss $55)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.7640/15
Sortino -2.7980/10
$-0.0177 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 347 (97 markets)10/10
28/35 profitable days (80%)10/10
Max DD 1538% of peak ($46 / $3)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 82%
Consistent
28/35 profitable days
Win Streak
13 wins in a row

Categories

5
🌤️ WEATHER#7,741$85Vol: $19,117
📈 ECONOMICS#641,482$-36Vol: $116
💰 FINANCE#128,036$1Vol: $28
💻 TECH#183,562$-1Vol: $7
🎭 CULTURE#299,347$0Vol: $1

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$50
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,269
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
97
total markets
Trades
127B / 145S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d

Periods

#2
Today
$7
Vol: $1,091
Week
$26
Vol: $4,113
Month
$57
Vol: $5,535
All Time
$50
Vol: $19,269

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
82%
80W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$-30
Win Rate
82%
80W / 17L
Profit Factor
0.45x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9 (0.29018302828618964% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C or higher on August 3?$4
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on August 4?$3
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 20?$2
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on June 21?$1
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?$1
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$1
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 81°F or below on July 30?$1
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 4?$1
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 29?$1
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 39°C on August 2?$1

Top Losers

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?$-20
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?$-12
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 29?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 20?$-9
Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?$-2
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 20?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.143
Sortino
-0.066
HHI
378
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.018
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.6%
Top-5 markets
34.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
25.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.9h
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1525s — normal for humanCV 1.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity6 trades/day — normal2.1 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.8
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0.8%
High (>55c)99.2%

Sessions

#12
6/21/2026, 1:49:47 PM17 trades$1402 min
8/2/2026, 3:43:32 PM2 trades$1180 min
8/4/2026, 1:43:18 AM2 trades$1010 min
7/22/2026, 11:53:31 AM3 trades$1010 min
7/30/2026, 11:56:24 AM2 trades$1000 min
8/1/2026, 10:59:17 PM3 trades$900 min
8/4/2026, 12:17:02 AM2 trades$810 min
8/2/2026, 8:45:08 AM2 trades$620 min
7/26/2026, 1:11:19 PM4 trades$540 min
7/26/2026, 10:12:34 AM2 trades$500 min
7/26/2026, 9:05:57 AM2 trades$500 min
7/26/2026, 10:34:15 AM2 trades$500 min
7/20/2026, 11:14:45 AM2 trades$500 min
7/21/2026, 12:18:45 AM2 trades$500 min
7/20/2026, 11:23:12 AM4 trades$500 min
7/28/2026, 12:02:01 PM2 trades$440 min
8/3/2026, 8:07:26 AM3 trades$400 min
8/3/2026, 3:09:56 PM4 trades$400 min
6/28/2026, 5:24:07 AM3 trades$400 min
7/8/2026, 4:03:31 AM2 trades$400 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-19
06-25
07-05
07-10
07-16
07-21
07-30
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 26 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
84% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.8/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0.8 / H99.2