nidrac2

@nidrac2

#13,02519

0xaf68f19b5deceb2188ddc0e3ac225907923ae9a7

~156d· 162 markets · 10669 tradesVol: $1,386,499 @policardifr2026-08-06 06:06:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (35/72)9.3/20
0.51x (win $310 / loss $609)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.2760/15
Sortino -2.3370/10
$-0.0062 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 948 (72 markets)7.8/10
16/42 profitable days (38%)2/10
Max DD 1259% of peak ($431 / $34)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+11,476
Lottery Player
54% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 6.4 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
82% maker orders

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#3,416$11,337Vol: $1,379,413
🌤️ WEATHER#16,243$20Vol: $3,578
SPORTS#167,717$49Vol: $1,966
🎭 CULTURE#102,814$4Vol: $1,357
📈 ECONOMICS#147,685$0Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$11,411
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,386,499
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
162
total markets
Trades
7627B / 3042S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~156d

Periods

#2
Today
$-6
Vol: $74
Week
$7
Vol: $6,147
Month
$17
Vol: $9,646
All Time
$11,411
Vol: $1,386,499

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
35W / 37L events
Realized PnL
$11,476
Win Rate
49%
35W / 37L
Profit Factor
0.51x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-20

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $148 (0.012891296240140258% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Marine Le Pen announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$56
Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$41
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$34
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?$24
Will François Piquemal be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?$22
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?$20
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?$10
Will Gabriel Attal announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$9
Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?$8

Top Losers

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-371
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$-52
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-36
Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-28
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$-20
Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-14
Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?$-14
Will the Rachida Dati List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election?$-13
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?$-10
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?$-7

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.118
Sortino
-0.089
HHI
4
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.112
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.6%
Top-5 markets
3.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
68.0
Very active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
27.1m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.33
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
22.5

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 399s — normal for humanCV 4.33 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock68 trades/day — mass trading1.0 markets/day — normal82% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.44
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)53.7%
Mid (20-55c)2.9%
High (>55c)43.4%

Sessions

#12
7/10/2026, 7:11:43 AM97 trades$4,3697 min
6/21/2026, 12:47:41 PM37 trades$2,7480 min
7/21/2026, 8:17:01 PM23 trades$2,1101 min
7/21/2026, 10:55:25 AM48 trades$1,71310 min
5/31/2026, 2:27:44 PM43 trades$1,4229 min
5/26/2026, 4:55:37 AM9 trades$1,3430 min
4/21/2026, 8:27:36 AM48 trades$1,1403 min
5/30/2026, 5:32:34 AM29 trades$1,0920 min
7/16/2026, 8:18:58 PM32 trades$1,0689 min
4/23/2026, 8:04:16 PM28 trades$9697 min
5/27/2026, 11:09:41 AM24 trades$9554 min
4/22/2026, 5:14:46 AM36 trades$9491 min
4/4/2026, 5:22:13 PM36 trades$9351 min
4/28/2026, 8:36:16 PM8 trades$9113 min
7/13/2026, 4:51:20 PM72 trades$91110 min
5/26/2026, 6:41:04 PM40 trades$78011 min
5/27/2026, 5:44:41 AM18 trades$7616 min
5/30/2026, 5:16:10 AM38 trades$71810 min
7/10/2026, 11:55:28 AM19 trades$6660 min
6/12/2026, 9:02:00 PM24 trades$6598 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-02
03-10
03-20
05-16
06-24
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 111 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.44/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L53.7 / M2.9 / H43.4