@nikosin

#2,751,08035

0xa94267092b14a04e37a3e45d1aba88902ebcdcf3

~27d· 37 markets · 91 tradesVol: $4,2202026-10-08 04:46:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (18/29)16/20
0.65x (win $271 / loss $418)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.8020/15
Sortino -3.2100/10
$-0.0546 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 620 (29 markets)9.4/10
13/19 profitable days (68%)9.6/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($253 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Consistent
13/19 profitable days

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,582,077$-220Vol: $1,467
📈 ECONOMICS#20,484$40Vol: $1,230
⚽ SPORTS#1,476,345$-19Vol: $877
💰 FINANCE#51,299$12Vol: $406
🎭 CULTURE#57,456$15Vol: $150

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-173
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,220
Total Redeem
$90
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
37
total markets
Trades
65B / 26S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$3
Vol: $215
Month
$19
Vol: $870
All Time
$-173
Vol: $4,220

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
62%
18W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-178
Win Rate
62%
18W / 11L
Profit Factor
0.65x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-52

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $184 (1.0351617440225036% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$106
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$47
Will France win on 2026-03-29?$32
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$21
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$15
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?$11
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$4
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$4

Top Losers

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-95
Will Spain win on 2026-03-30?$-93
Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$-72
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?$-59
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-42
French forces seize another oil tanker by Feb 28?$-25
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$-17
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$-15

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.143
Sortino
-0.184
HHI
472
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.063
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.8%
Top-5 markets
35.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
45
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 304s — normal for humanCV 0.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.62
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.2%
Mid (20-55c)6.2%
High (>55c)87.7%

Sessions

#12
3/8/2026, 6:00:15 AM5 trades$4045 min
9/15/2026, 10:34:36 AM9 trades$3777 min
2/28/2026, 2:32:49 AM5 trades$32911 min
9/15/2026, 10:11:19 AM3 trades$1782 min
5/22/2026, 4:57:39 AM3 trades$1510 min
9/18/2026, 11:44:52 PM6 trades$1453 min
3/31/2026, 8:42:49 AM2 trades$1382 min
3/18/2026, 11:04:29 AM1 trades$1000 min
2/28/2026, 2:50:39 AM2 trades$972 min
5/4/2026, 11:47:06 AM6 trades$950 min
3/17/2026, 10:21:55 AM1 trades$920 min
3/20/2026, 6:12:53 PM1 trades$910 min
3/29/2026, 7:49:36 PM1 trades$900 min
3/15/2026, 9:49:59 AM2 trades$790 min
2/28/2026, 4:24:49 AM2 trades$732 min
5/8/2026, 11:28:07 PM2 trades$590 min
3/18/2026, 10:46:35 PM2 trades$550 min
5/21/2026, 11:44:41 AM5 trades$500 min
5/8/2026, 11:33:11 PM2 trades$500 min
6/6/2026, 7:46:43 AM2 trades$500 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-28
03-13
03-18
04-15
05-17
06-06
09-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.62/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.2 / M6.2 / H87.7