nishiwodeshen

@nishiwodeshen

#3,160,56816

0x8d134c9a56269428bc3508229f679652fc9fd7b4

~16d· 18 markets · 33 tradesVol: $41,8702026-10-07 04:29:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (8/17)8.5/20
0.34x (win $3,589 / loss $10,607)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.0840/15
Sortino -5.1440/10
$-0.2965 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1717 (17 markets)3.9/10
6/13 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($7,018 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
58% entries < $0.55

Categories

6
⚽ SPORTS#1,929,977$-6,965Vol: $40,212
🏛️ POLITICS#1,095,908$-4Vol: $946
🎭 CULTURE#771,335$-52Vol: $468
💰 FINANCE#176,135$0Vol: $200
₿ CRYPTO#629,966$0Vol: $29
📢 MENTIONS#43,686$1Vol: $15

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-7,019
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$41,870
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
18
total markets
Trades
26B / 7S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

Periods

#2
Week
$2
Vol: $0
Month
$2
Vol: $200
All Time
$-7,019
Vol: $41,870

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
8W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$-7,019
Win Rate
47%
8W / 9L
Profit Factor
0.34x
Avg Win
$449
Avg Loss
$-1,326

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,735 (0.3896555359580112% of PnL)

Top Winners

Cavaliers vs. Pacers$1,054
Ducks vs. Flyers$966
Jazz vs. Thunder$715
Bulls vs. Celtics$612
Knicks vs. Hawks$241
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Signing Ceremony on Wednesday?$1
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?$0
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?$0

Top Losers

Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves$-6,450
Nuggets vs. Mavericks$-1,820
Bucks vs. Pacers$-1,380
Kings vs. Clippers$-525
Pelicans vs. Bulls$-376
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$-50
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?$-4
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.256
Sortino
-0.208
HHI
1711
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.299
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
27.2%
Top-5 markets
80.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5h
between trades
Avg Gap
6.7h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
24
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 5306s — normal for humanCV 1.85 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern12/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal55% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.88
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.8%
Mid (20-55c)53.8%
High (>55c)42.3%

Sessions

#12
1/8/2026, 1:33:58 PM1 trades$6,4500 min
1/7/2026, 5:29:59 PM1 trades$5,7850 min
1/5/2026, 6:15:31 PM1 trades$2,9880 min
1/6/2026, 4:24:27 PM1 trades$2,0460 min
12/23/2025, 2:54:39 PM1 trades$1,8200 min
12/23/2025, 2:37:25 PM3 trades$1,3801 min
1/6/2026, 5:58:43 PM1 trades$1,3340 min
12/30/2025, 5:35:21 PM1 trades$5250 min
12/27/2025, 6:31:01 PM1 trades$4890 min
12/31/2025, 3:34:29 PM1 trades$3760 min
9/23/2026, 7:45:35 AM2 trades$1000 min
3/29/2026, 8:20:50 AM1 trades$1000 min
1/27/2026, 1:15:57 PM2 trades$863 min
3/9/2026, 9:24:41 AM1 trades$500 min
5/13/2026, 12:01:22 AM2 trades$460 min
1/26/2026, 5:18:33 PM4 trades$440 min
1/27/2026, 12:50:11 PM1 trades$380 min
1/27/2026, 3:09:51 PM1 trades$360 min
1/26/2026, 6:08:25 PM1 trades$300 min
12/31/2025, 5:59:07 AM1 trades$290 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-23
12-30
01-05
01-07
01-14
03-09
06-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.88/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.8 / M53.8 / H42.3