noreasapa

@noreasapa

#1,23540

0x4ad6cadefae3c28f5b2caa32a99ebba3a614464c

~636d· 8090 markets · 65927 tradesVol: $75,763,3082026-08-01 16:08:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

94% (7638/8089)20/20
0.37x (win $265,780 / loss $722,944)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9120/15
Sortino -0.9210/10
$-0.0078 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 11 (8089 markets)10/10
478/500 profitable days (96%)10/10
Max DD 389% of peak ($676,084 / $173,776)0/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 94%
Profitable
PnL $+161,593
DCA Master
Avg 8.1 entries/market
Whale
$58,469,634 invested
Consistent
478/500 profitable days
High Roller
$87,399/day
Win Streak
130 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
83% maker orders

Categories

9
CRYPTO#1,114$37,222Vol: $24,341,698
🏛️ POLITICS#2,661$15,479Vol: $7,717,990
🎭 CULTURE#815,741$-9,248Vol: $7,156,162
📈 ECONOMICS#218$33,245Vol: $4,038,933
SPORTS#5,965$8,767Vol: $3,804,087
📢 MENTIONS#45$41,217Vol: $2,555,080
💰 FINANCE#656,864$-8,459Vol: $713,369
💻 TECH#257,199$-1,816Vol: $412,944
🌤️ WEATHER#2,133$663Vol: $379,738

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$161,657
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$75,763,308
Total Redeem
$5,015,299
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
8090
total markets
Trades
57521B / 8406S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~636d

Periods

#2
Today
$64
Vol: $120,051
Week
$990
Vol: $828,582
Month
$64
Vol: $120,051
All Time
$161,657
Vol: $75,763,308

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
94%
7638W / 451L events
Realized PnL
$161,593
Win Rate
94%
7638W / 451L
Profit Factor
0.37x
Avg Win
$35
Avg Loss
$-2,781

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $70,578 (0.4367653365529507% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will US or Israel strike Iran first?$60,233
Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?$5,328
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?$5,018
Will Trump say "Friend of Mine" during WEF Address on January 21?$3,920
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner$2,905
Will Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during December press conference?$2,759
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in June?$2,506
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in July?$2,262
Solana Up or Down on July 19?$2,255
Will two people dissent the March Fed decision?$2,014

Top Losers

Counter-Strike: B8 vs NRG - Map 2 Winner$-126,826
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A$-94,905
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner$-53,389
Games Total: O/U 2.5$-52,829
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A$-51,253
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)$-48,967
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs$-45,778
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner$-45,513
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A$-41,918
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B$-31,871

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.048
Sortino
-0.011
HHI
9
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.008
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.9%
Top-5 markets
2.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
98.5
Very active
Markets / Day
12.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
52s
between trades
Avg Gap
16.0m
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
34 min
Avg Trades / Session
114.7

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 52s — normal for humanCV 3.52 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock99 trades/day — mass trading12 markets/day — mass coverage83% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.15
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.6%
Mid (20-55c)1.3%
High (>55c)98.1%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 6:00:22 PM88 trades$341,8839 min
3/25/2026, 11:45:51 AM9 trades$233,7663 min
4/8/2026, 11:45:23 AM18 trades$220,5584 min
4/8/2026, 12:06:11 PM7 trades$209,2218 min
4/8/2026, 9:58:11 AM2 trades$199,6000 min
6/15/2026, 1:57:33 PM279 trades$191,35240 min
5/10/2026, 9:33:05 AM401 trades$182,805237 min
4/27/2026, 1:05:16 AM6 trades$169,5706 min
5/2/2026, 7:19:38 PM116 trades$163,90113 min
5/13/2026, 3:52:18 PM130 trades$161,40766 min
4/30/2026, 7:58:38 PM1512 trades$160,5598 min
6/12/2026, 6:17:33 PM96 trades$157,4251 min
2/28/2026, 3:10:33 PM5 trades$155,7946 min
4/3/2026, 10:54:41 AM209 trades$149,973110 min
4/1/2026, 3:00:35 PM81 trades$149,85011 min
7/1/2026, 4:19:37 PM133 trades$149,85036 min
3/21/2026, 4:25:29 PM174 trades$148,51195 min
6/14/2026, 5:18:37 PM7 trades$144,2773 min
3/19/2026, 3:43:59 PM228 trades$142,07988 min
4/30/2026, 2:58:20 PM5 trades$139,9643 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-07
05-05
07-27
10-20
01-11
04-04
07-31
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
12.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.15/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.6 / M1.3 / H98.1