norrisfan

@norrisfan

#3,069,96740

0xe72bb501df5306c75c89383d48a1e81073fbb0a0

~199d· 874 markets · 19437 tradesVol: $42,166,664 @BitalikWuterin2026-08-02 09:51:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (430/837)10.7/20
1.03x (win $5,485,051 / loss $5,335,341)2.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.2785.2/15
Sortino 0.4104.1/10
$+0.0115 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 87 (837 markets)10/10
101/186 profitable days (54%)6.1/10
Max DD 94% of peak ($542,870 / $580,208)0/10

Badges

7
Contrarian
71% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 22.1 entries/market
Whale
$13,041,793 invested
High Roller
$60,660/day
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
85% maker orders

Categories

7
SPORTS#1,525$43,862Vol: $37,620,516
🏛️ POLITICS#1,633,989$-5,867Vol: $1,174,646
🎭 CULTURE#743$11,224Vol: $646,580
CRYPTO#23,519$1,601Vol: $312,774
🌤️ WEATHER#1,223$1,455Vol: $6,000
💰 FINANCE#3,455$1,280Vol: $2,500
💻 TECH#5,760$107Vol: $2,008

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-95,725
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$42,166,664
Total Redeem
$1,342,626
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
874
total markets
Trades
15950B / 3487S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~199d

Periods

#2
Today
$-63
Vol: $10,783
Week
$-19,990
Vol: $10,783
Month
$-270
Vol: $15,116
All Time
$-95,725
Vol: $42,166,664

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
430W / 407L events
Realized PnL
$-95,703
Win Rate
51%
430W / 407L
Profit Factor
1.03x
Avg Win
$12,756
Avg Loss
$-13,439

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $532,554 (5.564682563773392% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?$194,555
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$172,784
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$165,215
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$150,241
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?$141,820
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-03?$140,148
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?$139,294
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$134,640
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$120,000
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers $110,693

Top Losers

Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$-130,967
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?$-121,600
Senators vs. Devils$-117,141
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$-104,605
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?$-99,229
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?$-98,630
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12?$-96,200
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?$-94,446
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-15?$-88,854
Will France win on 2026-06-26?$-79,394

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.015
Sortino
0.020
HHI
105
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.011
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.4%
Top-5 markets
15.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
90.4
Very active
Markets / Day
4.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
27s
between trades
Avg Gap
18.1m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
29.8

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 27s — normal for humanCV 6.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock90 trades/day — mass trading4.1 markets/day — normal85% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
22.07
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.7%
Mid (20-55c)52.9%
High (>55c)29.4%

Sessions

#12
5/9/2026, 7:06:25 PM8 trades$602,5235 min
6/15/2026, 9:37:01 PM4 trades$407,5920 min
4/11/2026, 1:25:15 PM34 trades$392,8465 min
6/15/2026, 5:06:18 PM19 trades$266,2780 min
5/3/2026, 6:20:08 PM8 trades$239,7600 min
5/24/2026, 6:04:40 PM2 trades$199,8000 min
4/12/2026, 5:54:53 PM3 trades$199,8000 min
5/17/2026, 6:25:50 PM8 trades$174,76919 min
5/10/2026, 6:28:05 PM35 trades$162,0838 min
4/12/2026, 9:03:59 PM88 trades$159,5587 min
5/30/2026, 6:23:00 PM29 trades$149,8299 min
3/12/2026, 7:47:13 PM12 trades$143,2948 min
5/4/2026, 12:57:54 PM14 trades$140,43411 min
4/5/2026, 3:08:25 PM2 trades$139,8160 min
6/18/2026, 3:50:31 PM126 trades$131,9677 min
7/1/2026, 7:08:34 PM2 trades$130,0000 min
5/4/2026, 10:58:34 AM170 trades$127,22473 min
6/15/2026, 9:43:42 PM8 trades$122,0374 min
5/9/2026, 7:40:13 PM7 trades$121,1090 min
5/9/2026, 7:30:15 PM1 trades$120,9880 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-30
01-30
03-02
04-03
05-07
06-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 92 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 22.07/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L17.7 / M52.9 / H29.4