@nottheworst2
#3,010,005240x98bd78e67b5c40f7f2e40d79d5f1db719ee3781e
~104d· 342 markets · 1264 tradesVol: $68,0242026-09-23 04:03:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
49% (159/325)9.5/20
0.72x (win $10,400 / loss $14,426)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.9400/15
Sortino -2.0610/10
$-0.1744 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 284 (325 markets)10/10
46/93 profitable days (49%)4.9/10
Max DD 797% of peak ($6,269 / $787)0/10
Badges
2Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
5⚽ SPORTS#1,872,467$-1,100Vol: $64,723
🏛️ POLITICS#1,354,170$-17Vol: $2,585
🎭 CULTURE#698,610$-11Vol: $212
📈 ECONOMICS#45,682$9Vol: $204
💰 FINANCE#82,465$4Vol: $193
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,092
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$68,024
Total Redeem
$143
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
342
total markets
Trades
745B / 519S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~104d
Periods
#2Today
$-31
Vol: $18
Week
$46
Vol: $3,005
Month
$148
Vol: $7,637
All Time
$-1,092
Vol: $68,024
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
49%
157W / 166L events
Realized PnL
$-1,058
Win Rate
49%
157W / 166L
Profit Factor
0.72x
Avg Win
$65
Avg Loss
$-102
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,807 (1.7088553732684035% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$845
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$570
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$392
Spurs vs. Knicks$382
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5$369
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$338
Will Lionel Messi score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$306
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$264
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?$207
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights$191
Top Losers
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,293
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-990
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?$-741
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-536
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$-484
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5$-394
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$-379
Knicks vs. Spurs$-354
Spurs vs. Knicks$-285
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5$-280
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.101
Sortino
-0.080
HHI
475
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.139
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.7%
Top-5 markets
39.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
10.9
Active
Markets / Day
2.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
38.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.4
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2294s — normal for humanCV 1.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active2.9 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 4:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.43
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)14.9%
Mid (20-55c)30.2%
High (>55c)54.9%
Sessions
#126/18/2026, 2:19:19 AM4 trades$7690 min
7/7/2026, 2:53:38 AM3 trades$7500 min
6/10/2026, 12:40:58 PM1 trades$6500 min
6/28/2026, 3:08:22 PM2 trades$5850 min
6/20/2026, 6:18:16 PM8 trades$5413 min
7/12/2026, 7:10:29 AM2 trades$5290 min
7/15/2026, 9:43:43 PM2 trades$5113 min
6/16/2026, 9:14:32 PM4 trades$4834 min
6/10/2026, 3:55:28 PM2 trades$4390 min
8/12/2026, 7:49:45 PM2 trades$4250 min
6/12/2026, 8:22:43 PM2 trades$3900 min
6/12/2026, 6:09:24 PM4 trades$3772 min
6/14/2026, 8:55:52 PM2 trades$3520 min
6/24/2026, 3:28:23 PM4 trades$3332 min
6/16/2026, 4:13:19 AM4 trades$3305 min
4/28/2026, 4:19:04 AM2 trades$3290 min
7/15/2026, 5:19:55 AM1 trades$3110 min
6/15/2026, 5:31:06 AM4 trades$3045 min
6/17/2026, 4:53:52 PM13 trades$3020 min
6/9/2026, 9:13:21 PM4 trades$2955 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
05-10
05-31
06-17
07-02
07-22
08-13
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 37 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.43/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.9 / M30.2 / H54.9