@npreston

#1,832,86910

0x6867ca0fc9c6301f69b70401e765301bac2f8747

~45d· 55 markets · 81 tradesVol: $11,7732026-10-08 03:39:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (23/54)6.3/20
0.06x (win $1 / loss $10)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.3520/15
Sortino -7.6570/10
$-0.0094 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4371 (54 markets)0/10
17/39 profitable days (44%)3.4/10
Max DD 24250% of peak ($10 / $0)0/10

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#652,174$-5Vol: $6,971
⚽ SPORTS#1,125,515$-3Vol: $3,605
🏛️ POLITICS#980,912$-2Vol: $1,153
₿ CRYPTO#568,441$0Vol: $20
💰 FINANCE#252,958$0Vol: $16
💻 TECH#87,990$0Vol: $8

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-10
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,773
Total Redeem
$1
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
55
total markets
Trades
62B / 19S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~45d

Periods

#2
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $5
All Time
$-10
Vol: $11,773

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
23W / 31L events
Realized PnL
$-10
Win Rate
43%
23W / 31L
Profit Factor
0.06x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $0 (0.022869022869022867% of PnL)

Top Winners

DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June?$0
Polish strike on Belarus by September 30?$0
Will Solana dip to $120 by January 31, 2025?$0
Will Israel annex Gazan territory before July?$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$0
Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on October 31?$0
Will Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?$0
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by next Friday?$0
Will Tesla name a new CEO before July? $0
Will TikTok be banned again before May?$0

Top Losers

Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-2
Will Trump increase tariffs on Mexico before May?$-2
Will Elon tweet 1025-1049 times Feb 7-14?$-1
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2025?$-1
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?$-1
Will Agnieszka Dziemianowicz-Bąk be the next President of Poland?$-1
Will Norway win Eurovision 2025?$-1
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?$-1
Will Iceland win Eurovision 2025?$-1
Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.431
Sortino
-0.329
HHI
4038
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
48.2%
Top-5 markets
91.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.5h
between trades
Avg Gap
6.3h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 16180s — normal for humanCV 4.90 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal4% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.56
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.4%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)80.6%

Sessions

#12
11/25/2025, 6:48:43 PM2 trades$9161 min
11/24/2025, 7:44:53 PM1 trades$4930 min
11/26/2025, 9:49:17 AM1 trades$4220 min
4/20/2025, 10:23:46 AM4 trades$90 min
10/19/2025, 9:07:47 AM1 trades$90 min
9/26/2026, 9:28:54 AM2 trades$50 min
1/19/2025, 10:03:55 AM3 trades$48 min
5/12/2026, 6:57:52 PM2 trades$40 min
1/25/2025, 1:25:32 AM1 trades$30 min
4/14/2025, 2:35:36 AM3 trades$33 min
2/8/2025, 9:10:44 PM1 trades$30 min
5/12/2025, 4:08:20 AM2 trades$30 min
2/8/2025, 4:05:43 PM1 trades$30 min
4/13/2025, 5:26:39 PM2 trades$30 min
4/19/2025, 7:49:48 PM2 trades$30 min
1/18/2025, 7:57:21 PM1 trades$30 min
1/18/2025, 12:47:55 PM1 trades$30 min
1/25/2025, 4:19:05 PM1 trades$30 min
1/7/2025, 2:59:25 PM1 trades$20 min
1/8/2025, 4:24:09 AM1 trades$20 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-08
03-06
04-05
06-14
08-29
11-25
03-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 312 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.5% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.56/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.4 / M0 / H80.6