Polydata

@onekey02

#5,66874

0xfaf98181c44636998a194aa7660bcae1b977f4c4

21d· 155 markets · 4481 tradesVol: $6,723,1622026-05-20T17:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

74
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 94%20/20
Profit Factor 2.36x15/15
Sharpe 0.3617/15
Sortino 0.2322/10
EV $+0.0131/10
HHI 26010/10
Profit Days 93%10/10
DD/Peak 23%9/10

Summary

Onekey02 is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having completed 4,481 trades across 155 markets over 275 days. With a net PnL of $23,119.18 and a global rank of #5668, this trader demonstrates consistent profitability and maintains a portfolio valued at over $1.8 million. Their Smart Score of 74/100 reflects a very good overall performance, supported by an upward equity trend and a steady win rate of nearly 60%.

Onekey02’s trading style appears disciplined and balanced, favoring a semi-automated approach as indicated by a Bot Score of 50/100, blending bot-driven and manual strategies. The trader rarely sells positions outright, with only 1% sell activity, and prefers dollar-cost averaging to manage risk. This approach aligns with their badges such as Diamond Hands and DCA Master, suggesting a patient, long-term perspective rather than frequent speculative trades. Their low profit factor of 0.04 and Sharpe ratio of 0.36 point to modest risk-taking and controlled volatility exposure.

The main strengths of onekey02 include strong consistency, a solid win rate, and an ability to maintain an upward portfolio trajectory without significant drawdowns. However, the relatively low profit factor and Sharpe ratio may indicate limited upside on profitable trades and moderate risk-adjusted returns. As a semi-bot trader, there may also be some vulnerability to rapid market shifts that require swift manual intervention. Overall, onekey02 presents as a reliable, methodical Polymarket participant with a focus on steady growth over high-risk gains.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 94%
Profitable
PnL $+23,119
Diamond Hands
1% sell
DCA Master
avg 28.6 entries/market
Win Streak
56 wins in a row
Whale
$6,486,500
Consistent
25/27 days
High Roller
$23,587/day
Cool Head
DD 23%

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,948$20,917Vol: $4,094,999
🎭 CULTURE#798$9,578Vol: $1,910,906
CRYPTO#42,581$412Vol: $339,799
📢 MENTIONS#165,531$-7,852Vol: $300,158
💰 FINANCE#29,085$32Vol: $72,499
📈 ECONOMICS#19,452$33Vol: $4,801

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$23,119
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,723,162
Total Redeem
$3,517,383
Portfolio
$1,813,540
Predictions
155
total markets
Trades
4428B / 53S
Daily Volume
$23,587
Account Age
21d
since Apr 29, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$1,722
Vol: $177,149
Week
$3,778
Vol: $1,235,851
Month
$22,737
Vol: $6,362,203
All Time
$23,119
Vol: $6,723,162

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
92%
71W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$11,311
Win Rate
60%
79W / 53L
Profit Factor
0.04x
Avg Win
$674
Avg Loss
$-26,955

Top Winners

Will Trump Insult Xi this week?$11,554
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$6,673
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$5,556
Will Melania Trump attend Trump’s Xi summit?$5,030
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$4,102
Will Trump visit China by June 30?$3,163
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$2,878
Will Trump Leave China after May 18?$2,028
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$1,591
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$1,494

Top Losers

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$-199,800
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$-163,923
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States oc$-149,850
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$-143,710
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$-89,910
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April $-52,122
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?$-50,449
AWS service disrupted by April 30?$-44,450
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping$-39,296
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$-36,514

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.361
Sortino
0.232
HHI
260
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.013
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.5%
Top-5 markets
25.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
208.9
Very active
Markets / Day
7.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
7.5m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.4

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 103s — typical for humanSize CV 4.45 — diverse, typical for human19% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.91 — human randomness209 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
28.6
Heavy DCA
<=1
18 entries
<=2
27 entries
<=5
52 entries
<=10
75 entries
<=20
98 entries
<=50
129 entries
>50
26 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 25.7%

Other$-1,375,382

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2
Events covered
77

Moderate coverage

<=1
48 brackets
<=2
55 brackets
<=3
63 brackets
<=4
68 brackets
<=5
75 brackets
<=8
77 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/29/2026, 5:54:50 AM3 trades$3,8291 min
4/29/2026, 6:01:52 AM7 trades$17,2817 min
4/29/2026, 6:14:10 AM7 trades$1,8685 min
4/29/2026, 6:25:50 AM1 trades$10 min
4/29/2026, 7:32:18 AM1 trades$10 min
4/29/2026, 8:07:36 AM24 trades$36,23623 min
4/29/2026, 8:35:46 AM1 trades$38,6780 min
4/29/2026, 9:02:52 AM1 trades$9,7660 min
4/29/2026, 9:08:22 AM11 trades$20,1315 min
4/29/2026, 9:21:20 AM2 trades$3,1632 min
4/29/2026, 9:34:20 AM3 trades$1138 min
4/29/2026, 9:48:20 AM4 trades$6381 min
4/29/2026, 10:15:26 AM1 trades$5300 min
4/29/2026, 10:28:32 AM3 trades$18,0175 min
4/29/2026, 11:16:56 AM1 trades$100 min
4/29/2026, 11:24:38 AM3 trades$1,0834 min
4/29/2026, 11:39:12 AM1 trades$3320 min
4/29/2026, 12:20:26 PM1 trades$19,9600 min
4/29/2026, 12:27:56 PM1 trades$120 min
4/29/2026, 12:43:10 PM1 trades$210 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
05-01
05-07
05-12
05-18
05-20
05-31
09-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 28.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2 br/event