@onthewave
#3,047,509270xc302b58614dcae99a2cab713534fdef0490ef388
~102d· 159 markets · 1015 tradesVol: $594,2312026-08-04 08:37:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
50% (68/136)10/20
0.50x (win $27,071 / loss $53,792)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.2650/15
Sortino -2.4870/10
$-0.1249 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 384 (136 markets)10/10
41/72 profitable days (57%)6.7/10
Max DD 540% of peak ($33,060 / $6,118)0/10
Badges
4DCA Master
Avg 6.1 entries/market
Whale
$213,958 invested
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#1,637,610$-9,968Vol: $325,267
₿ CRYPTO#30,024$1,021Vol: $190,146
📈 ECONOMICS#1,091$4,715Vol: $39,565
⚽ SPORTS#188,861$36Vol: $17,576
🎭 CULTURE#799,085$-273Vol: $10,078
💰 FINANCE#633,538$-104Vol: $5,910
💻 TECH#257,554$-1,243Vol: $4,695
📢 MENTIONS#170,607$-274Vol: $671
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-6,072
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$594,231
Total Redeem
$522
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
159
total markets
Trades
347B / 668S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~102d
Periods
#2Today
$18
Vol: $0
Week
$-97
Vol: $16,838
Month
$63
Vol: $19,217
All Time
$-6,072
Vol: $594,231
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
50%
68W / 68L events
Realized PnL
$-6,091
Win Rate
50%
68W / 68L
Profit Factor
0.5x
Avg Win
$398
Avg Loss
$-841
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $15,179 (2.492103547862236% of PnL)
Top Winners
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$10,319
Will Ethereum reach $2600 in May?$3,147
Will Ethereum reach $2400 in May?$1,713
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?$1,712
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?$1,586
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$1,167
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$1,150
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$728
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$559
Government shutdown on Saturday?$388
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-14,159
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-7,226
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-5,865
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-5,229
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-3,214
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-3,038
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?$-2,001
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?$-1,762
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-1,636
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$-1,115
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.118
Sortino
-0.089
HHI
307
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.134
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.8%
Top-5 markets
31%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.8
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 374s — normal for humanCV 1.88 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 10:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.11
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)24.5%
Mid (20-55c)13.3%
High (>55c)62.2%
Sessions
#125/8/2026, 7:47:28 AM12 trades$15,2634 min
4/23/2026, 2:43:46 AM12 trades$13,69729 min
6/16/2026, 12:35:57 PM14 trades$12,6412 min
5/10/2026, 8:17:03 PM2 trades$10,8802 min
2/24/2026, 6:46:34 AM4 trades$10,2007 min
2/18/2026, 2:45:48 PM1 trades$9,9670 min
4/27/2026, 5:39:52 AM26 trades$9,6809 min
4/17/2026, 1:23:26 PM12 trades$8,5363 min
6/3/2026, 11:57:45 AM28 trades$8,3655 min
6/9/2026, 11:17:15 AM4 trades$8,3280 min
4/10/2026, 9:15:11 AM21 trades$8,1550 min
4/16/2026, 1:31:36 PM26 trades$7,3002 min
3/11/2026, 12:24:35 PM2 trades$6,7171 min
6/14/2026, 7:57:16 AM20 trades$6,2400 min
5/6/2026, 10:57:10 AM47 trades$5,3941 min
1/16/2026, 1:43:38 AM5 trades$5,02910 min
1/23/2026, 11:30:38 AM2 trades$5,0000 min
8/3/2026, 2:44:32 PM30 trades$4,9839 min
6/14/2026, 5:13:22 PM20 trades$4,4891 min
6/3/2026, 4:39:46 PM14 trades$4,4530 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
01-20
02-14
03-08
04-23
06-01
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 54 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
65.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.11/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L24.5 / M13.3 / H62.2