openbit123

@openbit123

#2,465,36517

0x7998e180036699842e941af15102b09305e43f92

~43d· 133 markets · 212 tradesVol: $26,1232026-08-26 10:44:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (73/129)13.3/20
0.60x (win $102 / loss $170)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.5650/15
Sortino -4.0200/10
$-0.0085 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 8990 (129 markets)0/10
17/38 profitable days (45%)3.7/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($89 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,380,289$-20Vol: $25,418
SPORTS#1,595,915$-48Vol: $538
CRYPTO#364,115$2Vol: $140
💰 FINANCE#153,817$1Vol: $18

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-67
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$26,123
Total Redeem
$47
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
133
total markets
Trades
173B / 39S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~43d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-67
Vol: $26,123

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
73W / 56L events
Realized PnL
$-67
Win Rate
57%
73W / 56L
Profit Factor
0.6x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $48 (0.7205108940646131% of PnL)

Top Winners

Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 5AM ET$24
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$14
Nuggets vs. Thunder$10
Wizards vs. Hornets$5
Magic vs. Kings$5
Super Bowl LIX Winner$5
Bills vs. Jaguars$5
Bucks vs. Hornets$4
Knicks vs. Celtics$3
Hawks vs. Pistons$3

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?$-22
XRP Up or Down - January 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$-15
Senators vs. Predators$-11
XRP Up or Down - January 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$-11
Suns vs. Trail Blazers$-10
Solana above $170 on November 1?$-10
Kings vs. Timberwolves$-10
Rams vs. Falcons$-7
Yankees vs. Mets$-7
Panthers vs. Maple Leafs$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.184
Sortino
-0.175
HHI
8337
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.009
Kelly %
51.1%
Half-Kelly
25.5%
Top-1 market
91.2%
Top-5 markets
96.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
28s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 28s — normal for humanCV 4.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal9% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.61
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.3%
Mid (20-55c)22.5%
High (>55c)75.1%

Sessions

#12
11/10/2024, 5:54:38 PM8 trades$8,3678 min
12/4/2024, 4:34:38 PM18 trades$5,55312 min
12/4/2024, 4:26:14 PM4 trades$2,5483 min
11/10/2024, 5:44:33 PM15 trades$2,0994 min
12/4/2024, 6:26:24 PM2 trades$5014 min
11/5/2024, 3:57:01 PM9 trades$41113 min
11/5/2024, 3:45:51 PM2 trades$932 min
2/3/2025, 3:26:58 PM11 trades$659 min
4/9/2026, 2:17:33 PM16 trades$633 min
1/21/2025, 8:52:05 AM2 trades$351 min
2/7/2026, 9:41:51 AM3 trades$303 min
12/5/2024, 4:26:48 PM7 trades$291 min
2/5/2025, 5:37:59 PM10 trades$268 min
1/24/2026, 3:42:04 PM4 trades$236 min
4/9/2026, 2:36:57 PM4 trades$200 min
12/20/2024, 12:52:58 PM5 trades$191 min
1/23/2026, 4:07:42 PM1 trades$150 min
1/24/2026, 4:05:34 PM1 trades$150 min
1/4/2025, 1:17:55 AM2 trades$150 min
5/3/2026, 3:41:12 PM4 trades$140 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-30
12-05
01-04
01-15
02-20
12-29
05-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
18.4% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.61/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.3 / M22.5 / H75.1