@optimistic-dragon

#3,158,4780

0xa92f2a035a9920b0b3f61ef7244b958d69e0ea6e

~3d· 5 markets · 224 tradesVol: $1,905,5922026-09-22 13:32:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

20% (1/5)0/20
0.39x (win $305,026 / loss $780,859)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.6322 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2609 (5 markets)0/10
1/4 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($503,000 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
64% entries < $0.55
Whale
$752,660 invested
High Roller
$250,887/day

Categories

2
⚽ SPORTS#1,928,125$-105,816Vol: $1,904,931
₿ CRYPTO#1,497,779$-106Vol: $661

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-105,922
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,905,592
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
5
total markets
Trades
42B / 182S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~3d

Periods

#2
Today
$-10
Vol: $487,593
Week
$-105,917
Vol: $1,905,592
Month
$-105,917
Vol: $1,905,592
All Time
$-105,922
Vol: $1,905,592

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
1W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$-105,922
Win Rate
33%
1W / 2L
Profit Factor
0.39x
Avg Win
$305,026
Avg Loss
$-195,215

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $305,026 (2.879736242455735% of PnL)

Top Winners

Raiders vs. Chargers$305,026

Top Losers

Vikings vs. Bears$-259,788
Browns vs. Buccaneers$-243,212
Giants vs. Rams$-157,963
Colts vs. Chiefs$-119,896

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.359
Sortino
-0.564
HHI
2701
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.632
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
41.9%
Top-5 markets
100%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
74.7
Very active
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
6/24
Normal
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
39s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.32
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
8
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
28.0

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 39s — normal for humanCV 2.32 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps6/24 hours — normal schedule75 trades/day — mass trading1.7 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
44.8
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.4%
Mid (20-55c)61.9%
High (>55c)35.7%

Sessions

#12
9/20/2026, 11:14:40 PM8 trades$475,5500 min
9/20/2026, 8:22:10 PM116 trades$303,1415 min
9/22/2026, 2:27:53 AM23 trades$246,2080 min
9/21/2026, 11:27:33 PM5 trades$241,3790 min
9/21/2026, 12:58:20 AM18 trades$199,9301 min
9/20/2026, 4:35:37 AM10 trades$193,8721 min
9/20/2026, 8:02:52 PM23 trades$153,0750 min
9/22/2026, 1:21:43 AM21 trades$17,9440 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-09-20 17:00:00
2026-09-20 20:05:00
2026-09-21 00:20:00
2026-09-22 00:15:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
81.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 44.8/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L2.4 / M61.9 / H35.7