@orifcontex

#27,37611

0xa002fe96b56a85fa3ff05cfdeab99c8c9e53e840

~253d· 697 markets · 19809 tradesVol: $4,216,6342026-08-23 11:05:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

22% (144/669)0/20
0.65x (win $14,129 / loss $21,813)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.5130/15
Sortino -2.9520/10
$-0.2947 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 218 (669 markets)10/10
65/189 profitable days (34%)1.1/10
Max DD 260% of peak ($12,501 / $4,817)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+4,670
Lottery Player
87% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
97% maker orders

Categories

5
🎭 CULTURE#2,100$3,522Vol: $2,089,316
SPORTS#1,815,337$-560Vol: $1,299,024
📈 ECONOMICS#2,794$1,186Vol: $504,143
🏛️ POLITICS#27,299$500Vol: $320,524
CRYPTO#188,169$19Vol: $586

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,670
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,216,634
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
697
total markets
Trades
17263B / 2546S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~253d

Periods

#2
Today
$27
Vol: $2,425
Week
$561
Vol: $2,425
Month
$10
Vol: $282,785
All Time
$4,670
Vol: $4,216,634

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
22%
144W / 525L events
Realized PnL
$4,670
Win Rate
22%
144W / 525L
Profit Factor
0.65x
Avg Win
$98
Avg Loss
$-43

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,397 (1.155643539763128% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$2,731
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1,800
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$866
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$858
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$625
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$587
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$492
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?$422
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$410
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$361

Top Losers

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,352
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?$-1,252
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$-1,132
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?$-710
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?$-702
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-588
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$-582
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?$-477
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?$-460
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-437

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.131
Sortino
-0.133
HHI
238
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.231
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.4%
Top-5 markets
24.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
59.7
Very active
Markets / Day
2.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
29.5m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
28.8

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 132s — normal for humanCV 4.30 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock60 trades/day — mass trading2.1 markets/day — normal97% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
34.91
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)87.4%
Mid (20-55c)0.9%
High (>55c)11.7%

Sessions

#12
7/5/2026, 9:49:35 PM67 trades$7,0767 min
5/9/2026, 8:12:13 AM4 trades$4,0003 min
6/8/2026, 4:21:43 PM4 trades$2,4000 min
6/29/2026, 4:21:04 PM13 trades$1,4460 min
6/19/2026, 4:01:13 PM32 trades$1,32718 min
6/9/2026, 4:18:39 PM43 trades$1,2731 min
5/9/2026, 7:43:34 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/31/2026, 2:51:56 AM8 trades$1,0000 min
7/21/2026, 3:58:40 PM4 trades$6652 min
7/24/2026, 3:30:55 PM423 trades$66011 min
7/15/2026, 8:39:37 PM102 trades$58624 min
7/15/2026, 8:10:07 AM8 trades$5320 min
6/12/2026, 4:03:42 AM2 trades$5000 min
7/28/2026, 4:27:13 PM2 trades$5000 min
6/23/2026, 4:18:29 PM54 trades$4773 min
6/6/2026, 4:18:37 PM60 trades$4739 min
6/16/2026, 4:19:11 PM55 trades$4622 min
12/5/2025, 4:52:31 PM1 trades$4400 min
7/25/2026, 6:28:18 AM79 trades$38619 min
12/2/2025, 1:25:10 PM4 trades$3852 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-01
12-09
01-30
05-02
06-05
07-06
08-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 96 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
12.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 34.91/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L87.4 / M0.9 / H11.7