@ourdemocracy2

#15,12164

0xbdcb293dd41148a20895d0e818c0d96c0756e811

~185d· 535 markets · 9960 tradesVol: $10,886,1092026-08-01 23:12:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

64
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

81% (378/465)20/20
1.07x (win $157,442 / loss $146,682)3.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.92915/15
Sortino 1.32510/10
$+0.0034 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 1345 (465 markets)5.8/10
92/125 profitable days (74%)10/10
Max DD 82% of peak ($13,785 / $16,874)0/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 81%
Profitable
PnL $+9,716
DCA Master
Avg 19.5 entries/market
Whale
$3,123,461 invested
Consistent
92/125 profitable days
High Roller
$7,712/day
Win Streak
30 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
76% maker orders

Categories

7
📈 ECONOMICS#1,222$4,072Vol: $9,636,025
🏛️ POLITICS#14,768$1,361Vol: $496,914
🎭 CULTURE#7,303$567Vol: $275,763
💰 FINANCE#2,937$1,577Vol: $200,907
₿ CRYPTO#21,462$1,849Vol: $183,206
💻 TECH#4,306$175Vol: $12,906
🌤️ WEATHER#4,204$256Vol: $2,718

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$9,723
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,886,109
Total Redeem
$558
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
535
total markets
Trades
4299B / 5661S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~185d

Periods

#2
Today
$-47
Vol: $0
Week
$43
Vol: $3,031
Month
$-47
Vol: $0
All Time
$9,723
Vol: $10,886,109

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized cash_basis_v3 — may differ from Polymarket UI on open books. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
81%
378W / 87L events
Realized PnL
$9,716
Win Rate
81%
378W / 87L
Profit Factor
1.07x
Avg Win
$417
Avg Loss
$-2,009

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $116,281 (11.967489983419767% of PnL)

Top Winners

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$71,340
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$26,554
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$18,386
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$12,220
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$4,042
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$3,742
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$3,350
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$1,449
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Democrats flip Republicans by March 31?$905
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$759

Top Losers

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$-95,405
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$-18,512
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$-16,710
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$-4,505
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$-3,529
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?$-1,078
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-959
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$-663
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-558
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in August?$-530

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.048
Sortino
0.037
HHI
1673
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.004
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
32.6%
Top-5 markets
71.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
24.6
Active
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
38s
between trades
Avg Gap
18.7m
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.22
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
26 min
Avg Trades / Session
46.7

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 38s — normal for humanCV 3.22 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock25 trades/day — high frequency1.3 markets/day — normal76% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
19.53
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28.4%
Mid (20-55c)2.3%
High (>55c)69.3%

Sessions

#12
9/16/2025, 5:47:20 PM179 trades$393,21980 min
9/16/2025, 8:01:20 PM54 trades$118,27544 min
9/17/2025, 1:50:42 PM115 trades$112,54937 min
9/17/2025, 11:11:04 AM142 trades$109,37856 min
9/17/2025, 12:42:44 PM187 trades$98,91133 min
9/17/2025, 3:18:34 PM77 trades$98,84731 min
9/16/2025, 2:09:28 PM68 trades$97,93736 min
9/17/2025, 2:38:42 PM87 trades$92,89526 min
9/16/2025, 1:10:44 PM73 trades$87,16851 min
9/16/2025, 4:36:24 PM21 trades$83,20923 min
9/17/2025, 10:06:32 AM55 trades$80,48542 min
1/13/2026, 6:45:10 PM72 trades$76,54949 min
1/14/2026, 12:32:02 AM9 trades$67,20110 min
9/17/2025, 9:22:42 AM39 trades$64,35233 min
9/17/2025, 3:57:06 PM24 trades$57,0459 min
9/16/2025, 3:22:14 PM16 trades$55,21717 min
1/15/2026, 2:06:44 PM67 trades$54,06468 min
9/15/2025, 11:47:48 PM8 trades$52,89211 min
9/15/2025, 12:15:50 AM17 trades$52,3296 min
2/19/2026, 7:42:38 AM237 trades$51,58591 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-23
10-07
12-08
01-28
03-17
04-28
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 43 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19.53/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L28.4 / M2.3 / H69.3