@pako

#76378

0x71edffd0d70a1da823ff07a3c6fc81457294d338

~357d· 468 markets · 13734 tradesVol: $18,936,9312026-08-02 08:49:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

78
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

69% (278/404)19.4/20
1.67x (win $859,387 / loss $515,996)10.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.37215/15
Sortino 1.69710/10
$+0.0278 per $1 invested1.4/10
HHI 351 (404 markets)10/10
122/175 profitable days (70%)9.9/10
Max DD 62% of peak ($341,557 / $551,380)1.6/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 69%
Profitable
PnL $+261,567
DCA Master
Avg 30.7 entries/market
Whale
$12,337,750 invested
Consistent
122/175 profitable days
High Roller
$19,188/day
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
71% maker orders

Categories

8
📈 ECONOMICS#5$434,418Vol: $13,322,697
🏛️ POLITICS#1,640,994$-147,229Vol: $2,555,519
₿ CRYPTO#1,672,326$-20,499Vol: $2,445,815
💰 FINANCE#656,530$-4,719Vol: $382,258
🎭 CULTURE#2,186$3,279Vol: $153,448
💻 TECH#256,451$-962Vol: $50,337
📢 MENTIONS#172,927$-491Vol: $8,717
⚽ SPORTS#1,840,529$-1,397Vol: $6,506

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$262,592
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,936,931
Total Redeem
$9,305
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
468
total markets
Trades
9473B / 4261S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~357d

Periods

#2
Today
$1,117
Vol: $885
Week
$-1,800
Vol: $885
Month
$46
Vol: $885
All Time
$262,592
Vol: $18,936,931

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
69%
278W / 126L events
Realized PnL
$261,567
Win Rate
69%
278W / 126L
Profit Factor
1.67x
Avg Win
$3,091
Avg Loss
$-4,161

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $251,556 (0.9617300159221394% of PnL)

Top Winners

No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$86,780
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$82,585
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$82,192
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$72,251
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?$69,670
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$68,656
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$67,127
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$37,398
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$30,428
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$30,186

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-283,077
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$-58,466
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$-51,147
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-26,722
Ethereum flipped in 2026?$-17,599
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-14,254
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-12,525
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1?$-6,191
US military action against Iran by Saturday?$-5,623
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy$-5,355

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.072
Sortino
0.050
HHI
314
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.029
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.1%
Top-5 markets
27.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
21.4
Active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
33.1m
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
41.0

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 92s — normal for humanCV 5.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock21 trades/day — high frequency0.7 markets/day — normal71% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
30.73
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.5%
Mid (20-55c)4.8%
High (>55c)90.6%

Sessions

#12
7/14/2026, 12:32:50 PM103 trades$506,48011 min
4/29/2026, 6:49:36 PM132 trades$273,42021 min
7/27/2026, 1:33:16 PM23 trades$264,58110 min
1/29/2026, 4:31:34 PM1 trades$215,3790 min
1/28/2026, 7:32:34 PM100 trades$200,27132 min
3/20/2026, 7:33:23 PM2 trades$191,5970 min
9/1/2025, 2:13:26 PM1 trades$189,7900 min
6/20/2025, 8:43:26 AM147 trades$189,06136 min
7/24/2026, 1:06:18 PM113 trades$183,27410 min
7/24/2026, 10:27:00 AM37 trades$181,0437 min
7/27/2026, 1:03:12 PM105 trades$179,65023 min
12/11/2025, 1:15:05 PM19 trades$178,81826 min
1/7/2026, 3:52:57 PM2 trades$170,5170 min
7/14/2026, 1:05:26 PM41 trades$164,57229 min
4/7/2026, 11:17:33 PM38 trades$160,2500 min
11/24/2025, 1:50:07 PM12 trades$158,8826 min
4/1/2026, 2:12:07 PM64 trades$131,10535 min
1/2/2026, 11:08:05 AM56 trades$124,9012 min
1/9/2026, 1:49:00 PM5 trades$121,0020 min
4/27/2026, 10:28:46 AM39 trades$119,89513 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-29
02-06
08-29
11-25
01-27
04-04
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 78 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 30.73/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.5 / M4.8 / H90.6