@pbshine

#1,60561

0x9def9524630e31ff90f884eed32c3eecfbf8d1a5

~429d· 1647 markets · 22712 tradesVol: $8,681,712 @donjuanmt882026-08-02 07:17:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

61
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (809/1598)10.3/20
1.28x (win $662,092 / loss $517,511)6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.22215/15
Sortino 2.84610/10
$+0.0643 per $1 invested3.2/10
HHI 69 (1598 markets)10/10
185/367 profitable days (50%)5.1/10
Max DD 62% of peak ($100,350 / $160,952)1.5/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+121,143
Contrarian
59% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 13.5 entries/market
Whale
$2,247,512 invested
High Roller
$4,587/day
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
82% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#2,423$17,660Vol: $2,808,806
CRYPTO#579$65,446Vol: $2,283,324
SPORTS#2,432$23,658Vol: $1,697,156
💰 FINANCE#363$14,664Vol: $936,736
🎭 CULTURE#1,227$6,507Vol: $399,522
📈 ECONOMICS#676,635$-716Vol: $215,028
📢 MENTIONS#176,540$-8,971Vol: $64,015
💻 TECH#875$1,929Vol: $62,292
🌤️ WEATHER#890$2,156Vol: $17,589

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$121,574
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,681,712
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1647
total markets
Trades
16228B / 6484S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~429d

Periods

#2
Today
$2,844
Vol: $17,674
Week
$6,088
Vol: $17,674
Month
$1,714
Vol: $98,173
All Time
$121,574
Vol: $8,681,712

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
809W / 789L events
Realized PnL
$121,143
Win Rate
51%
809W / 789L
Profit Factor
1.28x
Avg Win
$818
Avg Loss
$-660

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $159,879 (1.3197570673277694% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$86,533
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$36,706
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$36,641
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$29,073
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$21,719
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$17,943
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?$11,512
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$10,973
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$10,440
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?$7,725

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-39,005
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$-10,110
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$-9,850
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$-9,711
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$-9,702
Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?$-9,449
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 22-28?$-7,474
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?$-6,945
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-6,373
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$-5,897

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.064
Sortino
0.118
HHI
76
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.067
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.1%
Top-5 markets
13.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
46.4
Active
Markets / Day
3.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
32.1m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.1

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 198s — normal for humanCV 2.85 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock46 trades/day — high frequency3.4 markets/day — normal82% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.46
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.6%
Mid (20-55c)35.9%
High (>55c)40.6%

Sessions

#12
6/1/2026, 12:37:56 PM6 trades$48,0237 min
5/16/2026, 12:00:07 PM42 trades$34,1310 min
12/8/2025, 1:27:31 PM1 trades$26,0400 min
6/9/2026, 10:07:22 AM19 trades$17,2861 min
4/30/2026, 4:27:38 AM22 trades$16,22010 min
7/25/2026, 11:19:15 PM4 trades$15,4060 min
4/29/2026, 1:49:22 PM4 trades$15,2141 min
12/22/2025, 1:13:23 PM1 trades$14,9350 min
5/2/2026, 11:35:30 PM15 trades$14,0720 min
7/29/2025, 8:24:37 PM3 trades$13,6434 min
6/16/2026, 12:26:46 AM1 trades$13,2600 min
5/18/2026, 1:05:40 PM17 trades$12,9904 min
7/31/2026, 4:54:39 PM3 trades$12,8721 min
5/3/2026, 12:48:40 PM27 trades$12,4932 min
5/16/2026, 3:47:56 PM23 trades$12,39710 min
6/23/2025, 3:05:39 PM1 trades$11,7750 min
2/28/2026, 7:36:19 PM35 trades$11,63727 min
5/2/2026, 4:40:42 PM26 trades$11,2597 min
5/18/2026, 4:16:40 PM14 trades$10,63419 min
7/7/2025, 3:53:15 AM7 trades$10,0659 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-25
08-06
10-12
12-16
02-27
05-07
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 44 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.46/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23.6 / M35.9 / H40.6