@pmwatcher
#3,071,501370x90bfc858ddb497e6208a92dce15cfe9a480d3348
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
47% (166/355)8.4/20
1.12x (win $198,334 / loss $176,754)4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.2294.3/15
Sortino 0.4144.1/10
$+0.0367 per $1 invested1.8/10
HHI 200 (355 markets)10/10
73/161 profitable days (45%)3.8/10
Max DD 302% of peak ($116,545 / $38,647)0/10
Badges
7Lottery Player
58% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 20.3 entries/market
Whale
$588,140 invested
High Roller
$2,245/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
75% maker orders
Categories
9⚽ SPORTS#1,881,281$-28,451Vol: $5,149,860
🏛️ POLITICS#1,639,091$-14,426Vol: $768,722
🎭 CULTURE#816,678$-11,137Vol: $183,107
🌤️ WEATHER#5,731$148Vol: $43,800
💰 FINANCE#4,485$914Vol: $30,641
📢 MENTIONS#2,053$548Vol: $21,993
📈 ECONOMICS#650,928$-58Vol: $20,304
₿ CRYPTO#21,798$1,815Vol: $19,776
💻 TECH#245,388$-59Vol: $4,081
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-50,471
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,305,493
Total Redeem
$4,160
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
382
total markets
Trades
5988B / 1875S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~232d
Periods
#2Today
$1,881
Vol: $1,153
Week
$4,196
Vol: $13,275
Month
$-1,528
Vol: $58,663
All Time
$-50,471
Vol: $6,305,493
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
47%
166W / 189L events
Realized PnL
$-54,607
Win Rate
47%
166W / 189L
Profit Factor
1.12x
Avg Win
$1,195
Avg Loss
$-971
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $167,209 (3.0620591536445865% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102,190
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$59,250
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?$5,769
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?$2,882
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2,493
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$2,271
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$2,082
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$1,728
Spurs vs. Knicks$1,460
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$1,266
Top Losers
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-50,380
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-17,028
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-13,708
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-8,530
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-7,928
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-7,387
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-5,606
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-4,851
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,794
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,422
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.012
Sortino
0.016
HHI
185
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.046
Kelly %
9.5%
Half-Kelly
4.8%
Top-1 market
9.3%
Top-5 markets
23.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
30.0
Active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
47.5m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.08
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
19.2
Bot Detection
#650
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 132s — normal for humanCV 4.08 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock30 trades/day — high frequency1.5 markets/day — normal75% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
20.31
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)57.7%
Mid (20-55c)7.3%
High (>55c)35%
Sessions
#126/28/2026, 2:43:20 AM188 trades$38,28727 min
5/11/2026, 3:05:28 AM18 trades$14,8601 min
7/25/2026, 10:32:55 PM11 trades$14,8001 min
6/23/2026, 10:10:16 AM34 trades$10,64335 min
5/24/2026, 5:29:10 PM21 trades$10,5250 min
6/25/2026, 9:33:26 PM3 trades$9,8990 min
6/19/2026, 9:03:52 PM3 trades$9,2000 min
6/26/2026, 1:03:43 AM29 trades$9,00710 min
3/1/2026, 5:45:25 AM6 trades$8,92512 min
4/7/2026, 10:54:59 PM43 trades$8,63328 min
7/31/2026, 7:57:47 PM10 trades$8,6223 min
6/19/2026, 7:37:43 PM15 trades$8,2163 min
4/9/2026, 7:42:21 PM16 trades$8,0860 min
5/30/2026, 9:03:44 PM9 trades$7,8521 min
2/28/2026, 9:39:11 PM15 trades$7,8117 min
2/28/2026, 7:33:19 PM15 trades$7,6949 min
5/5/2026, 10:53:06 PM8 trades$7,4852 min
1/19/2026, 8:03:12 PM10 trades$7,4522 min
7/24/2026, 5:20:04 PM1 trades$7,2000 min
5/23/2026, 10:04:18 PM11 trades$7,1841 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-14
12-30
02-06
03-14
04-22
06-03
07-15
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 25 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.31/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L57.7 / M7.3 / H35