@podairpod

#5,84586

0x2ed8f7a10686dbb0fb15f5c3335f30e0043793d4

~468d· 683 markets · 8956 tradesVol: $843,4902026-08-02 09:49:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

86
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (365/610)14.9/20
2.02x (win $46,451 / loss $23,051)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.44415/15
Sortino 9.92510/10
$+0.0631 per $1 invested3.2/10
HHI 174 (610 markets)10/10
163/260 profitable days (63%)8.2/10
Max DD 15% of peak ($3,574 / $23,445)10/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+28,220
Contrarian
52% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 12.3 entries/market
Whale
$370,570 invested
Consistent
163/260 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 15%
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
📈 ECONOMICS#267$27,273Vol: $804,401
CRYPTO#50,226$353Vol: $11,945
🏛️ POLITICS#72,645$78Vol: $7,044
🎭 CULTURE#17,888$131Vol: $5,992
📢 MENTIONS#90,480$-2Vol: $4,910
💰 FINANCE#12,484$196Vol: $4,522
💻 TECH#26,063$4Vol: $1,752

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$28,202
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$843,490
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
683
total markets
Trades
5795B / 3161S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~468d

Periods

#2
Today
$-60
Vol: $541
Week
$3,269
Vol: $541
Month
$-93
Vol: $1,355
All Time
$28,202
Vol: $843,490

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
365W / 245L events
Realized PnL
$28,220
Win Rate
60%
365W / 245L
Profit Factor
2.02x
Avg Win
$127
Avg Loss
$-97

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,079 (0.3217299787384833% of PnL)

Top Winners

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$5,768
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?$1,783
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in January?$1,528
Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?$1,480
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1,326
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in September?$1,300
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?$1,300
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1,171
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in December?$1,135
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?$1,077

Top Losers

Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in September?$-794
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in January?$-790
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?$-786
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?$-632
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.4%?$-601
Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April?$-594
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in December?$-552
Will the US add more than 125k jobs in January?$-539
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in February?$-527
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?$-488

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.180
Sortino
0.364
HHI
104
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.080
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.4%
Top-5 markets
17.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.9
Active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
15.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 900s — normal for humanCV 3.56 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock15 trades/day — very active1.1 markets/day — normal68% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.33
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25.1%
Mid (20-55c)26.6%
High (>55c)48.3%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 6:04:40 PM147 trades$15,74117 min
2/11/2026, 1:30:59 PM12 trades$12,90816 min
12/10/2025, 4:37:00 PM3 trades$11,1047 min
6/25/2026, 7:15:04 AM19 trades$10,1311 min
6/17/2026, 6:54:31 PM34 trades$8,65719 min
7/14/2026, 12:31:43 PM39 trades$8,6279 min
6/14/2026, 11:19:40 PM101 trades$7,76616 min
11/20/2025, 1:55:41 PM16 trades$6,33613 min
9/17/2025, 6:22:24 PM41 trades$5,95149 min
1/9/2026, 1:31:24 PM10 trades$5,9318 min
3/8/2026, 10:13:23 PM12 trades$5,71711 min
6/21/2026, 10:48:05 AM17 trades$5,3560 min
4/10/2026, 1:00:23 PM13 trades$5,26510 min
10/29/2025, 7:37:19 PM4 trades$5,0817 min
3/8/2026, 10:44:43 PM6 trades$4,67414 min
6/5/2026, 4:33:18 PM15 trades$4,5607 min
9/17/2025, 6:02:40 PM36 trades$4,55112 min
2/26/2026, 12:44:16 AM1 trades$4,4510 min
11/20/2025, 1:29:41 PM9 trades$4,1695 min
6/1/2026, 1:42:39 PM31 trades$4,0092 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-10
07-01
09-18
12-03
02-04
04-17
07-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 33 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L25.1 / M26.6 / H48.3