@poligamer

#153,03925

0xea439424cf214e1916a6fb38e895970dbbaf7549

~37d· 321 markets · 1036 tradesVol: $164,1102026-10-08 03:01:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (184/320)13.7/20
0.79x (win $2,940 / loss $3,745)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3190/15
Sortino -1.5070/10
$-0.0228 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 103 (320 markets)10/10
12/34 profitable days (35%)1.3/10
Max DD 163% of peak ($2,076 / $1,271)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
35% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,622,336$-715Vol: $98,640
₿ CRYPTO#29,828$983Vol: $64,904
🎭 CULTURE#441,769$-0Vol: $381
⚽ SPORTS#1,393,236$-12Vol: $184

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$255
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$164,110
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
321
total markets
Trades
689B / 347S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~37d

Periods

#2
Today
$9
Vol: $0
Week
$-17
Vol: $0
Month
$-102
Vol: $0
All Time
$255
Vol: $164,110

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
184W / 136L events
Realized PnL
$-360
Win Rate
57%
184W / 136L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-28

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $753 (2.095244716351502% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$284
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$246
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$224
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$194
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$137
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$137
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$103
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$98
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$75
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$74

Top Losers

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-1,510
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$-205
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$-198
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$-178
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$-152
US government shutdown Saturday?$-112
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$-105
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$-99
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?$-92
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$-76

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.068
Sortino
-0.066
HHI
132
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.022
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.1%
Top-5 markets
16.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
27.7m
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.8

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 100s — normal for humanCV 1.80 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule5 trades/day — normal1.5 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.01
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)34.7%
Mid (20-55c)17.7%
High (>55c)47.6%

Sessions

#12
9/2/2026, 8:26:13 PM10 trades$2,5834 min
9/2/2026, 8:37:52 PM34 trades$2,2775 min
5/27/2026, 9:26:14 PM17 trades$2,2230 min
7/10/2026, 11:17:08 PM10 trades$1,9441 min
2/28/2026, 11:56:19 AM7 trades$1,94115 min
2/19/2026, 4:28:06 PM11 trades$1,92512 min
2/24/2026, 9:44:36 PM6 trades$1,9026 min
2/24/2026, 11:59:42 AM8 trades$1,77114 min
2/25/2026, 10:57:44 PM4 trades$1,5757 min
2/19/2026, 3:29:22 PM6 trades$1,4705 min
2/24/2026, 4:18:08 PM15 trades$1,3507 min
5/27/2026, 9:08:35 PM4 trades$1,3051 min
2/24/2026, 9:19:28 PM13 trades$1,2639 min
4/22/2026, 10:06:20 PM8 trades$1,2092 min
2/21/2026, 10:34:30 PM7 trades$1,19410 min
2/24/2026, 4:38:04 PM9 trades$1,1797 min
2/11/2026, 10:42:31 PM15 trades$1,02215 min
2/23/2026, 7:23:40 PM17 trades$8924 min
2/23/2026, 5:24:28 PM10 trades$87914 min
2/23/2026, 6:38:18 PM12 trades$83711 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-25
02-02
02-10
02-19
02-24
03-03
04-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 132 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.01/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L34.7 / M17.7 / H47.6