@politicalsavant
350x460a20d648c4601abfcd0c71ec37eb6dfd26d738
~503d· 2023 markets · 29848 trades2026-08-04 18:09:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
53% (1019/1908)11.7/20
1.02x (win $146,209 / loss $142,721)2.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.1793.4/15
Sortino 0.2322.3/10
$+0.0067 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 50 (1908 markets)10/10
181/368 profitable days (49%)4.8/10
Max DD 407% of peak ($16,245 / $3,992)0/10
Badges
5Contrarian
57% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 11.3 entries/market
Whale
$523,556 invested
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-3,867
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$523,556
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2023
total markets
Trades
18888B / 10960S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~503d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
53%
1019W / 889L events
Realized PnL
$-3,867
Win Rate
53%
1019W / 889L
Profit Factor
1.02x
Avg Win
$143
Avg Loss
$-164
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $13,821 (3.573777613433905% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?$8,675
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$3,183
Will Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union?$1,962
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$1,911
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$1,674
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?$1,614
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1,595
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$1,592
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal end in a draw?$1,279
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$1,212
Top Losers
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$-12,996
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-1,960
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$-1,814
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?$-1,674
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$-1,471
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$-1,037
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$-921
Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 50?$-901
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-865
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$-824
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.009
Sortino
0.009
HHI
29
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.008
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.5%
Top-5 markets
8.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
44.6
Active
Markets / Day
3.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
31.8m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.78
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
24.7
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 154s — normal for humanCV 2.78 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock45 trades/day — high frequency3.0 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 22:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
11.35
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)15.4%
Mid (20-55c)41.8%
High (>55c)42.8%
Sessions
#124/12/2026, 11:02:13 PM52 trades$6,62032 min
6/3/2026, 4:00:26 AM13 trades$6,1291 min
6/9/2026, 12:17:24 AM2 trades$5,6980 min
5/21/2026, 7:27:53 PM18 trades$5,2209 min
5/3/2026, 9:27:40 PM6 trades$4,8370 min
6/28/2026, 2:46:25 AM6 trades$4,1151 min
6/23/2026, 7:23:38 PM7 trades$3,9230 min
12/31/2025, 2:50:39 AM35 trades$3,5299 min
4/27/2026, 3:56:02 PM15 trades$2,8946 min
12/28/2025, 4:01:53 AM1 trades$2,8840 min
4/24/2026, 2:23:00 PM48 trades$2,82312 min
7/2/2026, 1:42:43 PM12 trades$2,6714 min
5/21/2026, 10:11:57 PM3 trades$2,4370 min
8/30/2025, 2:32:09 PM14 trades$2,43213 min
12/30/2025, 5:48:33 PM70 trades$2,3469 min
7/11/2026, 11:14:55 PM4 trades$2,3224 min
7/21/2026, 5:31:36 PM25 trades$2,2641 min
9/14/2025, 2:29:14 PM11 trades$2,19312 min
6/24/2026, 2:01:02 AM2 trades$2,0820 min
2/13/2026, 1:36:19 AM4 trades$2,0765 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-05
06-15
08-20
10-21
01-02
03-23
07-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 135 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.35/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.4 / M41.8 / H42.8