@poordecisionpotato

#229,20610

0x568f8ac0e644ecc964a44a8fc103c7fbc53de469

~29d· 52 markets · 134 tradesVol: $15,3482026-08-26 09:58:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

30% (12/40)0/20
0.84x (win $719 / loss $856)0.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.5270/15
Sortino -2.2150/10
$-0.0502 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 843 (40 markets)8.3/10
6/17 profitable days (35%)1.3/10
Max DD 149% of peak ($419 / $282)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+110
Lottery Player
43% entries < $0.20

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#53,501$144Vol: $12,148
₿ CRYPTO#87,203$113Vol: $981
🎭 CULTURE#780,985$-76Vol: $822
⚽ SPORTS#211,255$27Vol: $774
💻 TECH#245,727$-30Vol: $383
💰 FINANCE#629,103$-62Vol: $200
📢 MENTIONS#118,700$-5Vol: $40

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$111
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,348
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
52
total markets
Trades
99B / 35S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-8
Vol: $0
Month
$-14
Vol: $0
All Time
$111
Vol: $15,348

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
30%
12W / 28L events
Realized PnL
$110
Win Rate
30%
12W / 28L
Profit Factor
0.84x
Avg Win
$60
Avg Loss
$-31

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $342 (3.1057936796222303% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$166
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$90
Ethereum above $2,400 on July 1?$86
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in September?$66
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$63
Zohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$60
Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80–89?$59
Will Eric Adams drop out?$53
Ethereum above $2,400 on June 27?$37
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?$25

Top Losers

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$-128
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$-120
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on September 12?$-62
Will Trump send the national guard to Chicago?$-50
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$-50
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$-49
Spurs vs. Knicks$-45
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?$-40
Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election? $-36
Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be 90 or higher?$-33

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.077
Sortino
-0.118
HHI
489
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.060
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.8%
Top-5 markets
41.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
43.4m
between trades
Night Trading
40%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 116s — normal for humanCV 1.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)40% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.83
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)43.4%
Mid (20-55c)41.4%
High (>55c)15.2%

Sessions

#12
4/30/2026, 5:20:40 PM11 trades$6966 min
5/26/2026, 11:23:37 PM10 trades$5173 min
9/8/2025, 2:53:16 AM6 trades$38913 min
6/24/2025, 8:38:41 PM1 trades$3840 min
6/24/2025, 9:11:29 PM2 trades$3800 min
6/15/2025, 4:53:43 PM1 trades$3200 min
11/3/2025, 5:37:15 PM1 trades$2690 min
9/15/2025, 10:05:00 PM2 trades$2660 min
6/11/2026, 5:13:07 PM8 trades$2536 min
6/25/2025, 12:20:31 AM4 trades$1955 min
11/5/2025, 2:39:57 AM6 trades$1148 min
6/19/2025, 7:55:12 PM2 trades$1084 min
7/10/2025, 1:17:08 PM3 trades$1001 min
6/25/2025, 12:56:31 AM7 trades$902 min
2/28/2026, 5:33:51 PM2 trades$732 min
6/15/2025, 5:08:33 PM1 trades$690 min
6/25/2025, 8:13:19 PM3 trades$662 min
6/24/2025, 8:54:01 PM2 trades$620 min
6/25/2025, 12:46:43 AM4 trades$501 min
9/25/2025, 1:05:40 AM1 trades$500 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-24
06-26
09-08
09-25
11-02
11-05
02-28
06-09
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 390 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.83/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L43.4 / M41.4 / H15.2