@pred-arbi
#2,999,273100x4b512e1bf7963fe291da2436f66c5b1cc7de866e
~16d· 31 markets · 846 tradesVol: $45,0952026-08-26 09:14:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
42% (13/31)6/20
0.75x (win $3,282 / loss $4,377)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.1760/15
Sortino -4.1440/10
$-0.0906 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2492 (31 markets)0/10
6/13 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 3744% of peak ($2,341 / $63)0/10
Categories
1⚽ SPORTS#1,856,043$-1,412Vol: $45,085
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,412
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$45,095
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
31
total markets
Trades
407B / 439S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
42%
13W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$-1,926
Win Rate
42%
13W / 18L
Profit Factor
0.75x
Avg Win
$252
Avg Loss
$-257
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,950 (1.5321679338568281% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,118
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$464
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$368
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$74
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$71
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?$48
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$46
Will Canada reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$32
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$29
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?$20
Top Losers
Will Spain win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,008
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-922
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-749
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$-514
Will Argentina win the World Cup?$-379
Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-128
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?$-102
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$-98
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$-96
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?$-95
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.160
Sortino
-0.212
HHI
6366
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.059
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
74.3%
Top-5 markets
125.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
31.3
Active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
32s
between trades
Avg Gap
32.0m
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.4
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 32s — normal for humanCV 1.56 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity31 trades/day — high frequency1.1 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 0:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
40.87
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)17.7%
Mid (20-55c)14.7%
High (>55c)67.6%
Sessions
#127/19/2026, 9:39:34 PM64 trades$4,9979 min
7/19/2026, 7:24:28 PM20 trades$1,7172 min
7/15/2026, 8:15:58 PM32 trades$1,4785 min
7/11/2026, 11:09:56 PM25 trades$1,43416 min
7/19/2026, 8:58:18 PM40 trades$1,34314 min
7/18/2026, 5:46:22 AM21 trades$1,1730 min
7/18/2026, 4:26:43 AM14 trades$8971 min
7/11/2026, 10:17:55 PM15 trades$7343 min
7/19/2026, 9:25:46 PM36 trades$6597 min
6/24/2026, 7:28:53 PM11 trades$5770 min
6/24/2026, 8:04:50 PM12 trades$4920 min
7/4/2026, 12:11:49 AM202 trades$43353 min
7/12/2026, 1:31:43 AM7 trades$3994 min
7/12/2026, 1:01:56 AM6 trades$3958 min
7/11/2026, 11:40:19 PM4 trades$3750 min
7/11/2026, 9:47:34 PM4 trades$3523 min
7/18/2026, 6:09:27 AM11 trades$3473 min
7/3/2026, 5:21:50 PM6 trades$3240 min
7/18/2026, 12:24:49 PM9 trades$3030 min
7/18/2026, 8:58:33 AM9 trades$2791 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-23
06-25
07-01
07-04
07-07
07-12
07-19
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 18 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 40.87/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.7 / M14.7 / H67.6