@predictgeek

#14,30930

0x21ff16230285273f6097846437b46d35e97f5e2a

~197d· 712 markets · 12034 tradesVol: $5,369,7872026-08-02 08:49:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (291/666)6.8/20
1.07x (win $139,193 / loss $130,466)3.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.3055.7/15
Sortino 0.3953.9/10
$+0.0035 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 1714 (666 markets)3.9/10
88/165 profitable days (53%)5.8/10
Max DD 163% of peak ($47,106 / $28,905)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+10,188
Lottery Player
41% entries < $0.20
Whale
$2,514,411 invested
High Roller
$11,275/day
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
📈 ECONOMICS#464$14,400Vol: $2,302,629
⚽ SPORTS#3,124$18,040Vol: $1,227,079
💰 FINANCE#656,661$-5,378Vol: $676,740
₿ CRYPTO#1,670,100$-10,110Vol: $649,116
🏛️ POLITICS#1,636,736$-10,069Vol: $431,497
🎭 CULTURE#3,620$1,645Vol: $36,828
💻 TECH#213,497$-4Vol: $1,447
🌤️ WEATHER#6,743$108Vol: $206

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$10,270
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,369,787
Total Redeem
$93,753
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
712
total markets
Trades
6110B / 5924S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~197d

Periods

#2
Today
$54
Vol: $117
Week
$15,748
Vol: $117
Month
$-58
Vol: $762
All Time
$10,270
Vol: $5,369,787

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
291W / 375L events
Realized PnL
$10,188
Win Rate
44%
291W / 375L
Profit Factor
1.07x
Avg Win
$478
Avg Loss
$-369

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $35,261 (3.460962383137438% of PnL)

Top Winners

Eagles vs. Bills$15,427
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$10,108
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets$9,726
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$9,371
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$7,473
Yi Zhou vs. Yasutaka Uchiyama: Total Sets O/U 2.5$4,704
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-1.5)$4,047
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$3,863
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3,719
Rockets vs. Lakers$3,696

Top Losers

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$-13,142
Rams vs. Falcons$-13,052
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?$-11,711
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$-9,391
US government shutdown Saturday?$-8,509
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-5,643
Will the US add more than 125k jobs in January?$-3,226
Will Amazon reach $260 in April?$-3,073
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?$-2,538
Mavericks vs. Warriors$-2,474

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.016
Sortino
0.015
HHI
1245
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.004
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
34.2%
Top-5 markets
46.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
54.0
Very active
Markets / Day
3.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
42.0m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.28
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.0

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 384s — normal for humanCV 5.28 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock54 trades/day — mass trading3.2 markets/day — normal37% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.19
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)40.9%
Mid (20-55c)8.6%
High (>55c)50.5%

Sessions

#12
1/27/2026, 3:43:05 PM5 trades$235,1924 min
1/28/2026, 11:58:19 AM10 trades$108,0315 min
1/25/2026, 5:43:44 AM11 trades$100,40125 min
1/28/2026, 5:20:27 AM41 trades$92,96724 min
1/21/2026, 6:04:00 PM1 trades$64,5780 min
1/23/2026, 9:57:10 AM8 trades$59,0738 min
1/24/2026, 6:21:18 PM2 trades$56,4871 min
1/25/2026, 5:16:58 PM1 trades$49,6000 min
1/25/2026, 5:39:38 PM1 trades$49,6000 min
1/26/2026, 9:16:19 PM1 trades$45,8920 min
2/8/2026, 12:24:05 AM2 trades$40,2861 min
1/15/2026, 6:14:48 PM3 trades$36,3813 min
1/24/2026, 6:28:40 PM10 trades$36,1449 min
1/23/2026, 9:46:24 AM7 trades$33,5815 min
1/21/2026, 5:18:04 PM4 trades$32,52610 min
1/23/2026, 4:13:44 PM1 trades$32,0040 min
7/22/2026, 6:00:39 PM27 trades$30,54611 min
3/8/2026, 11:26:03 PM5 trades$30,53311 min
1/24/2026, 9:09:52 AM1 trades$29,9450 min
1/24/2026, 1:35:00 AM8 trades$29,93815 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-23
01-21
02-25
04-08
05-14
06-24
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 79 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.19/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L40.9 / M8.6 / H50.5