@predictiondiablo

#6,29871

0xc9db23c5d9f7b86628474bcb74539b92c3b56789

~163d· 4911 markets · 43138 tradesVol: $1,321,9382026-08-01 15:23:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

71
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (2340/4816)9.3/20
1.36x (win $157,340 / loss $115,680)7/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.99415/15
Sortino 6.07710/10
$+0.1318 per $1 invested6.6/10
HHI 43 (4816 markets)10/10
83/157 profitable days (53%)5.7/10
Max DD 34% of peak ($17,326 / $50,784)7.2/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+25,982
Contrarian
64% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 8.8 entries/market
Whale
$316,124 invested
High Roller
$1,786/day
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
SPORTS#2,350$24,909Vol: $770,064
CRYPTO#1,633,021$-1,542Vol: $503,913
🏛️ POLITICS#14,881$1,343Vol: $18,463
🎭 CULTURE#19,756$108Vol: $13,108
🌤️ WEATHER#281,008$-75Vol: $5,784
📈 ECONOMICS#25,559$26Vol: $1,553
💰 FINANCE#33,905$30Vol: $173

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$25,722
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,321,938
Total Redeem
$115,770
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4911
total markets
Trades
29071B / 14067S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~163d

Periods

#2
Today
$-145
Vol: $11,714
Week
$1,187
Vol: $130,564
Month
$-145
Vol: $11,714
All Time
$25,722
Vol: $1,321,938

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
49%
2340W / 2476L events
Realized PnL
$25,982
Win Rate
49%
2340W / 2476L
Profit Factor
1.36x
Avg Win
$67
Avg Loss
$-48

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $18,764 (0.7221867704100445% of PnL)

Top Winners

Los Cabos Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tristan Boyer$7,334
Panama vs. England: Both Teams to Score$6,544
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Fedor Sosedkin vs Denis Klok$4,886
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$3,769
Spread: France (-1.5)$3,277
Switzerland to win the second half?$3,256
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-17?$3,229
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays$2,631
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals$2,564
CA Platense vs. CA Unión: O/U 3.5$2,412

Top Losers

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-6,969
Will Tom Kim make the cut at the 2026 U.S. Open?$-4,162
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-26?$-3,839
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-07-23?$-2,630
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-07-25?$-2,103
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5$-2,036
CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 4.5$-1,527
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?$-1,318
Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?$-1,214
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score$-1,185

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.156
Sortino
0.242
HHI
37
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.135
Kelly %
2.6%
Half-Kelly
1.3%
Top-1 market
4.5%
Top-5 markets
9.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
243.7
Very active
Markets / Day
27.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
14s
between trades
Avg Gap
9.5m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
12 min
Avg Trades / Session
61.4

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 14s — suspiciously fastCV 6.85 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock244 trades/day — automation28 markets/day — mass coverage48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.79
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.2%
Mid (20-55c)55.7%
High (>55c)36.1%

Sessions

#12
7/30/2026, 2:58:06 AM28 trades$24,9030 min
6/5/2026, 1:50:06 AM692 trades$12,90231 min
6/19/2026, 6:08:43 AM20 trades$9,5574 min
6/27/2026, 10:49:35 PM12 trades$6,4164 min
7/18/2026, 10:00:34 PM20 trades$6,0530 min
7/28/2026, 11:45:58 PM7 trades$6,0370 min
7/26/2026, 11:21:55 PM6 trades$4,9680 min
7/15/2026, 2:39:04 PM20 trades$4,2260 min
6/24/2026, 8:04:49 PM19 trades$4,0891 min
7/25/2026, 7:08:09 PM5 trades$3,7250 min
5/24/2026, 5:50:55 AM3 trades$3,5560 min
7/24/2026, 12:08:58 AM9 trades$3,2205 min
5/17/2026, 5:35:49 PM13 trades$2,8702 min
3/2/2026, 9:16:09 AM200 trades$2,817112 min
6/6/2026, 9:45:37 PM13 trades$2,7600 min
7/7/2026, 6:06:53 PM8 trades$2,74415 min
6/13/2026, 9:01:06 PM5 trades$2,7150 min
6/9/2026, 4:41:28 PM30 trades$2,6329 min
6/16/2026, 8:45:52 PM2 trades$2,6040 min
5/19/2026, 8:22:44 PM22 trades$2,6010 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-06
03-09
04-05
05-11
06-08
07-04
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 12 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.79/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L8.2 / M55.7 / H36.1