@probability
#1,437690x74f1b8944c7b10f7239e3dda0de6b8ee42e816a8
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
69
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
54% (1759/3242)12.1/20
1.37x (win $399,918 / loss $291,612)7.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.57315/15
Sortino 3.93910/10
$+0.0380 per $1 invested1.9/10
HHI 27 (3242 markets)10/10
237/500 profitable days (47%)4.3/10
Max DD 25% of peak ($27,123 / $106,942)8.9/10
Badges
9Profitable
PnL $+137,935
Lottery Player
49% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 16.1 entries/market
Whale
$2,848,890 invested
High Roller
$3,930/day
Cool Head
Max DD 25%
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
70% maker orders
Categories
9⚽ SPORTS#789$106,092Vol: $8,713,233
🏛️ POLITICS#1,417$33,744Vol: $2,321,294
🎭 CULTURE#816,176$-3,196Vol: $262,472
📈 ECONOMICS#6,317$312Vol: $260,967
💰 FINANCE#657,078$-9,417Vol: $179,616
💻 TECH#584$2,981Vol: $129,883
📢 MENTIONS#3,204$293Vol: $60,132
₿ CRYPTO#52,941$311Vol: $51,725
🌤️ WEATHER#987$1,875Vol: $26,116
Overview
#1Net PnL
$137,940
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,432,271
Total Redeem
$16,507
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3401
total markets
Trades
43212B / 10510S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~657d
Periods
#2Today
$13
Vol: $100
Week
$33,688
Vol: $100
Month
$186
Vol: $504
All Time
$137,940
Vol: $12,432,271
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
54%
1759W / 1483L events
Realized PnL
$137,935
Win Rate
54%
1759W / 1483L
Profit Factor
1.37x
Avg Win
$227
Avg Loss
$-201
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $44,770 (0.32457704845106927% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$18,078
Will Runcorn Linnets FC vs. Buxton FC end in a draw?$14,367
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12,326
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal end in a draw?$11,698
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?$11,161
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$10,130
Will Portugal win on 2025-10-14?$8,766
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$8,370
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?$8,274
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-08?$7,074
Top Losers
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?$-8,697
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,511
Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?$-4,381
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,163
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$-4,061
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$-3,859
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$-3,394
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?$-3,322
Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League?$-3,012
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?$-2,892
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.082
Sortino
0.175
HHI
27
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.039
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.6%
Top-5 markets
5.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
74.1
Very active
Markets / Day
4.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
19.5m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
18 min
Avg Trades / Session
36.4
Bot Detection
#650
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 68s — normal for humanCV 5.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock74 trades/day — mass trading4.7 markets/day — normal70% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
16.14
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)48.6%
Mid (20-55c)23.3%
High (>55c)28.2%
Sessions
#127/1/2026, 11:22:04 AM282 trades$35,47223 min
7/15/2026, 2:24:53 AM5 trades$28,0316 min
10/16/2025, 3:34:03 PM41 trades$28,00427 min
7/7/2026, 9:40:07 PM4 trades$25,0764 min
1/3/2026, 5:12:29 PM59 trades$22,94036 min
10/15/2025, 5:35:07 PM4 trades$20,6904 min
6/2/2026, 9:17:10 AM6 trades$20,2905 min
10/11/2025, 1:44:40 PM27 trades$17,49619 min
11/13/2025, 7:23:52 PM31 trades$17,21128 min
1/30/2026, 10:47:50 AM131 trades$16,87383 min
12/25/2025, 7:56:19 PM1 trades$16,1670 min
12/15/2025, 12:42:21 PM16 trades$16,01414 min
10/22/2025, 10:24:45 AM18 trades$15,5536 min
11/13/2025, 2:19:06 PM4 trades$15,5404 min
11/6/2025, 2:23:03 PM4 trades$14,1451 min
11/16/2024, 6:13:01 PM82 trades$13,92452 min
12/1/2025, 3:35:38 PM26 trades$13,79713 min
10/21/2025, 5:10:19 AM1 trades$13,6130 min
11/17/2025, 7:56:17 PM44 trades$13,53031 min
10/15/2025, 4:03:01 PM5 trades$13,4938 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-16
01-10
05-10
10-08
01-08
04-24
07-26
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 237 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
19.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.14/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L48.6 / M23.3 / H28.2