prophet-spaces

@prophet-spaces

#57,88783

0x2dd2c8233e02f5636b490323a8cdf3cdc4eed5d8

~73d· 45 markets · 660 tradesVol: $188,289 @prophet_spaces2026-10-08 02:03:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

83
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

89% (32/36)20/20
2.04x (win $4,259 / loss $2,091)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.60515/15
Sortino 3.44710/10
$+0.0288 per $1 invested1.4/10
HHI 482 (36 markets)10/10
30/33 profitable days (91%)10/10
Max DD 63% of peak ($2,091 / $3,334)1.5/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 89%
Profitable
PnL $+1,388
DCA Master
Avg 26.1 entries/market
Whale
$75,330 invested
Consistent
30/33 profitable days
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#12,871$1,748Vol: $182,609
₿ CRYPTO#1,216,807$-14Vol: $3,777
💰 FINANCE#119,833$2Vol: $1,579
⚽ SPORTS#1,423,893$-14Vol: $172
📈 ECONOMICS#88,064$2Vol: $152

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,723
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$188,289
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
45
total markets
Trades
307B / 353S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~73d

Periods

#2
Today
$-119
Vol: $1,639
Week
$-194
Vol: $21,934
Month
$158
Vol: $75,510
All Time
$1,723
Vol: $188,289

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
89%
32W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$1,388
Win Rate
89%
32W / 4L
Profit Factor
2.04x
Avg Win
$133
Avg Loss
$-1,046

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,396 (1.7256632068744464% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$929
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$834
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?$633
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$365
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$192
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$182
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$144
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$112
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?$110
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$96

Top Losers

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-1,739
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-352

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.134
Sortino
inf
HHI
484
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.028
Kelly %
23.3%
Half-Kelly
11.6%
Top-1 market
10%
Top-5 markets
35.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 522s — normal for humanCV 1.98 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
26.11
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)4.6%
High (>55c)95.4%

Sessions

#12
9/1/2026, 3:13:51 AM17 trades$14,8703 min
8/30/2026, 4:30:45 PM25 trades$6,6655 min
8/17/2026, 8:05:03 AM4 trades$6,1901 min
8/20/2026, 6:19:52 AM11 trades$3,9396 min
7/5/2026, 5:49:17 PM2 trades$3,6450 min
7/1/2026, 7:38:35 PM2 trades$3,1550 min
6/15/2026, 6:27:06 PM28 trades$1,8595 min
6/19/2026, 11:34:19 PM3 trades$1,6920 min
4/27/2026, 5:42:42 PM5 trades$1,6831 min
7/19/2026, 4:24:09 AM4 trades$1,6790 min
7/29/2026, 10:40:35 AM6 trades$1,6750 min
6/20/2026, 5:30:34 PM4 trades$1,6201 min
7/3/2026, 11:17:07 AM4 trades$1,5870 min
4/25/2026, 11:08:20 PM2 trades$1,4710 min
8/9/2026, 5:55:09 AM8 trades$1,4243 min
8/5/2026, 7:37:12 AM7 trades$1,2757 min
7/22/2026, 7:53:42 AM1 trades$1,1890 min
5/20/2026, 10:45:53 PM11 trades$1,1265 min
5/13/2026, 6:32:34 PM4 trades$1,1161 min
4/26/2026, 11:28:40 AM4 trades$1,1080 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-25
05-05
05-20
06-14
06-20
07-08
08-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 26.11/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M4.6 / H95.4