protonboy

@protonboy

#2,887,64655

0x8a21383bea53b7a7ef20025158a9f6b368a0fec3

~232d· 230 markets · 5668 tradesVol: $544,979 @ProtonBoyyy2026-08-04 17:10:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

55
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (32/63)10.4/20
1.23x (win $638 / loss $519)5.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.73013.7/15
Sortino 1.27010/10
$+0.0077 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 572 (63 markets)9.6/10
23/46 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 69% of peak ($265 / $385)0.2/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
56% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 31.2 entries/market
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
77% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,386,575$-22Vol: $290,652
💰 FINANCE#651,996$-669Vol: $138,658
CRYPTO#249,295$8Vol: $63,626
📈 ECONOMICS#14,277$78Vol: $34,329
💻 TECH#243,328$-46Vol: $10,134
🌤️ WEATHER#264,503$-24Vol: $4,650
SPORTS#518,617$0Vol: $1,329
🎭 CULTURE#727,057$-21Vol: $1,020

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-691
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$544,979
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
230
total markets
Trades
4037B / 1631S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~232d

Periods

#2
Today
$-16
Vol: $1,644
Week
$-10
Vol: $3,560
Month
$-38
Vol: $4,980
All Time
$-691
Vol: $544,979

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
32W / 31L events
Realized PnL
$-686
Win Rate
51%
32W / 31L
Profit Factor
1.23x
Avg Win
$20
Avg Loss
$-17

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $486 (0.7092906218546234% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$364
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks by December 31?$89
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$33
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by May 31, 2026?$30
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?$27
Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31?$16
Will Base launch a token in 2025?$11
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$8
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$7
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $6

Top Losers

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$-255
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.0% before 2027?$-38
Will Navan Inc IPO closing market capitalization be between 5 billion and 6 billion?$-25
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$-25
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$-25
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?$-23
Will Ethereum reach $4,100 November 10-16?$-13
Will Ethereum reach $3,900 November 10-16?$-13
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 November 10-16?$-11
Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2025?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.038
Sortino
0.049
HHI
5
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.090
Kelly %
16.9%
Half-Kelly
8.5%
Top-1 market
1.9%
Top-5 markets
3.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.3
Active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
30.7

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 402s — normal for humanCV 1.30 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock20 trades/day — high frequency0.8 markets/day — normal77% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
31.21
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)55.8%
Mid (20-55c)9.4%
High (>55c)34.8%

Sessions

#12
7/1/2026, 11:23:58 AM78 trades$79824 min
7/10/2026, 7:13:35 PM56 trades$73025 min
7/15/2026, 6:43:37 PM50 trades$53915 min
7/10/2026, 7:23:14 AM41 trades$50213 min
7/20/2026, 1:23:10 PM49 trades$47618 min
7/16/2026, 9:43:49 AM45 trades$45913 min
7/8/2026, 7:24:20 AM48 trades$45313 min
7/22/2026, 9:40:06 AM39 trades$44312 min
7/17/2026, 7:14:18 PM52 trades$41818 min
7/18/2026, 8:24:31 AM44 trades$41712 min
7/14/2026, 8:48:50 PM45 trades$40513 min
7/31/2026, 11:23:32 AM34 trades$4059 min
7/9/2026, 6:59:34 PM38 trades$40114 min
8/4/2026, 8:21:08 AM51 trades$39713 min
7/30/2026, 6:08:56 PM35 trades$37813 min
7/9/2026, 9:12:56 AM33 trades$3679 min
7/13/2026, 1:15:56 PM50 trades$35614 min
7/11/2026, 6:50:23 PM39 trades$33112 min
7/6/2026, 8:46:37 PM30 trades$30912 min
7/11/2026, 9:49:26 AM33 trades$30118 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-30
11-27
01-03
02-01
02-24
03-13
04-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 130 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 31.21/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L55.8 / M9.4 / H34.8