@qianduoduoduo
#3,106,757310xfd9c7915741c1fd5cf2dbf7416297b3d8d307046
~31d· 31 markets · 115 tradesVol: $61,2452026-10-06 12:00:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
31
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
78% (21/27)20/20
0.30x (win $303 / loss $1,010)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.2300/15
Sortino -4.2200/10
$-0.0299 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2184 (27 markets)1.6/10
13/19 profitable days (68%)9.6/10
Max DD 456% of peak ($905 / $198)0/10
Badges
3Sniper
Win rate 78%
Consistent
13/19 profitable days
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Categories
7₿ CRYPTO#31,955$849Vol: $26,696
🏛️ POLITICS#1,620,659$-690Vol: $22,832
💰 FINANCE#659,216$-452Vol: $5,355
📈 ECONOMICS#27,872$22Vol: $1,034
💻 TECH#268,313$-207Vol: $745
⚽ SPORTS#1,634,312$-54Vol: $246
🎭 CULTURE#304,626$0Vol: $48
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-2,248
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$61,245
Total Redeem
$383
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
31
total markets
Trades
94B / 21S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~31d
Periods
#2Today
$623
Vol: $3,100
Week
$500
Vol: $5,270
Month
$889
Vol: $11,539
All Time
$-2,248
Vol: $61,245
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
78%
21W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$-2,153
Win Rate
78%
21W / 6L
Profit Factor
0.3x
Avg Win
$14
Avg Loss
$-168
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $213 (0.09899338991160227% of PnL)
Top Winners
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 6?$99
Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?$72
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$43
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?$28
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$22
Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?$10
Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?$8
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 15?$6
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?$4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 11?$4
Top Losers
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-707
Will Liquid Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?$-182
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$-65
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$-37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 13?$-11
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?$-7
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.215
Sortino
-0.137
HHI
1991
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.033
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
42.8%
Top-5 markets
60.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
20.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.19
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1250s — normal for humanCV 4.19 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 11:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)21.3%
Mid (20-55c)5.3%
High (>55c)73.4%
Sessions
#122/9/2026, 7:31:31 AM1 trades$10,1210 min
3/15/2026, 12:01:19 PM2 trades$1,4763 min
2/5/2026, 4:52:11 AM1 trades$1,0120 min
2/22/2026, 11:42:58 AM1 trades$9330 min
2/15/2026, 3:19:19 AM1 trades$9270 min
2/11/2026, 7:16:55 AM1 trades$8880 min
2/8/2026, 7:53:47 AM1 trades$8870 min
3/2/2026, 2:36:23 PM1 trades$8260 min
2/22/2026, 11:56:12 AM1 trades$7190 min
7/30/2026, 11:24:03 AM7 trades$5453 min
6/14/2026, 4:18:54 AM2 trades$5390 min
1/21/2026, 8:52:06 AM1 trades$5070 min
1/7/2026, 12:44:37 PM1 trades$4790 min
8/7/2026, 6:55:16 AM1 trades$4480 min
8/7/2026, 11:27:04 AM3 trades$4480 min
5/2/2026, 12:46:08 PM1 trades$4270 min
3/10/2026, 8:36:19 AM2 trades$4090 min
3/15/2026, 5:58:45 PM1 trades$3840 min
9/1/2026, 1:25:36 AM10 trades$3045 min
6/6/2026, 2:57:33 PM1 trades$2800 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-06
02-05
02-11
02-27
03-10
03-20
07-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 204 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
18.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.3 / M5.3 / H73.4