Polydata

@quietparcel

#3,87336

0x764b305694b026c1acce7bf862c3b5456a146bad

~95d· 5014 markets · 199904 tradesVol: $4,166,1262026-07-31 15:27:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

74% (3075/4138)20/20
0.88x (win $17,266 / loss $19,568)1/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.2230/15
Sortino -2.7400/10
$-0.0095 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 8 (4138 markets)10/10
48/93 profitable days (52%)5.4/10
Max DD 1634% of peak ($3,627 / $222)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 74%
Profitable
PnL $+37,395
Diamond Hands
5% sells
Whale
$242,919 invested
High Roller
$2,405/day
Win Streak
27 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🌤️ WEATHER#298,372$-12,729Vol: $1,422,482
🏛️ POLITICS#1,719$27,194Vol: $756,262
SPORTS#1,867,528$-4,246Vol: $736,958
🎭 CULTURE#815,294$-6,216Vol: $565,492
💰 FINANCE#140$34,316Vol: $258,417
📈 ECONOMICS#3,412$885Vol: $148,780
💻 TECH#274$7,186Vol: $117,608
CRYPTO#1,605,614$-815Vol: $18,079

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$45,461
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,166,126
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
5014
total markets
Trades
9727B / 10228S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~95d

Periods

#2
Today
$9,154
Vol: $37,818
Week
$23,805
Vol: $243,361
Month
$66,164
Vol: $1,257,978
All Time
$45,461
Vol: $4,166,126

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
78%
11525W / 3241L events
Realized PnL
$37,395
Win Rate
78%
11525W / 3241L
Profit Factor
0.88x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-30

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,382 (0.03696467566724839% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$688
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$350
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$345
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$330
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$317
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$296
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$189
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$158
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$154
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$127

Top Losers

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?$-1,095
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-640
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$-531
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$-494
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$-483
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$-369
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$-289
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-274
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-236
Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-234

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.116
Sortino
-0.136
HHI
6
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.012
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.5%
Top-5 markets
1.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1979.2
Very active
Markets / Day
49.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
15.6m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
20.4

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 415s — normal for humanCV 1.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1979 trades/day — automation50 markets/day — mass coverage5% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.1%
Mid (20-55c)5.8%
High (>55c)90.1%

Sessions

#12
7/1/2026, 5:36:19 AM17 trades$1,5060 min
7/1/2026, 5:06:02 AM13 trades$1,3535 min
7/2/2026, 5:42:19 AM65 trades$1,32021 min
7/16/2026, 5:14:46 AM14 trades$1,1070 min
7/1/2026, 5:36:49 PM24 trades$87315 min
6/10/2026, 3:04:48 AM11 trades$7641 min
5/15/2026, 3:59:09 PM48 trades$75219 min
6/19/2026, 10:53:02 PM20 trades$7490 min
7/2/2026, 3:43:38 AM10 trades$7304 min
5/12/2026, 8:33:47 AM35 trades$71410 min
6/6/2026, 5:47:00 PM16 trades$6773 min
5/18/2026, 10:27:42 AM7 trades$6332 min
6/15/2026, 6:54:18 PM20 trades$5994 min
7/2/2026, 2:40:50 AM15 trades$5911 min
5/11/2026, 3:47:11 PM38 trades$54523 min
5/11/2026, 2:44:39 PM5 trades$5340 min
6/26/2026, 7:33:58 PM9 trades$5070 min
5/19/2026, 5:43:56 PM12 trades$5001 min
6/20/2026, 7:05:55 PM31 trades$50020 min
7/20/2026, 8:44:27 PM15 trades$4922 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-22
05-10
05-25
06-09
06-24
07-13
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 65 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
12% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.1 / M5.8 / H90.1