@rafa.pandolfo

#3,129,49727

0xc50f627bf0977096b7357f49e5b5c2498a2f3ad3

~49d· 286 markets · 1124 tradesVol: $2,239,8712026-09-10 13:25:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (152/285)11.7/20
0.76x (win $161,966 / loss $213,874)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.3390/15
Sortino -4.6780/10
$-0.1331 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 267 (285 markets)10/10
22/43 profitable days (51%)5.3/10
Max DD 1188% of peak ($56,677 / $4,769)0/10

Badges

5
Contrarian
68% entries < $0.55
Whale
$390,119 invested
High Roller
$1,894/day
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
⚽ SPORTS#1,905,263$-23,538Vol: $1,308,228
🏛️ POLITICS#1,645,898$-2,772Vol: $758,165

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-29,321
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,239,871
Total Redeem
$345,799
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
286
total markets
Trades
794B / 330S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~49d

Periods

#2
Today
$-248
Vol: $0
Week
$-661
Vol: $0
Month
$-2,544
Vol: $319,734
All Time
$-29,321
Vol: $2,239,871

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
152W / 133L events
Realized PnL
$-30,223
Win Rate
53%
152W / 133L
Profit Factor
0.76x
Avg Win
$1,066
Avg Loss
$-1,608

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $18,344 (0.6069662046198943% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8,743
Valorant: G2 Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha$4,990
Ducks vs. Sharks$4,612
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants$3,374
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers$3,374
Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangers$3,173
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox$3,064
Athletics vs. Atlanta Braves$2,878
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha$2,749
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-22?$2,734

Top Losers

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-13,043
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$-11,515
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-8,856
Flyers vs. Red Wings$-7,850
Kings vs. Raptors$-7,000
Devils vs. Stars$-4,500
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-04-14?$-4,405
Maple Leafs vs. Ducks$-4,000
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-04-11?$-3,936
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Group Stage$-3,651

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.224
Sortino
-0.238
HHI
305
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.121
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.9%
Top-5 markets
31.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 78s — normal for humanCV 2.55 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal1.4 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.1
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14%
Mid (20-55c)54.2%
High (>55c)31.9%

Sessions

#12
5/20/2026, 2:26:52 PM24 trades$38,2520 min
4/14/2026, 5:56:14 PM41 trades$21,2405 min
4/2/2026, 6:33:01 PM40 trades$21,02711 min
4/3/2026, 2:31:59 PM35 trades$16,9477 min
4/1/2026, 5:06:49 PM40 trades$16,8173 min
3/30/2026, 6:24:45 PM10 trades$13,0003 min
3/26/2026, 7:02:03 PM9 trades$12,9005 min
3/31/2026, 10:54:11 PM11 trades$12,0322 min
5/17/2026, 1:05:56 PM1 trades$11,5240 min
4/4/2026, 2:54:21 PM46 trades$10,8832 min
3/20/2026, 1:05:49 PM7 trades$10,2607 min
3/28/2026, 8:00:06 PM6 trades$10,0004 min
4/11/2026, 12:27:57 AM10 trades$9,9232 min
4/5/2026, 6:57:13 PM8 trades$9,7461 min
6/14/2026, 5:30:06 PM6 trades$9,6880 min
4/4/2026, 6:34:49 PM17 trades$9,5481 min
4/11/2026, 1:41:51 AM18 trades$8,8322 min
3/28/2026, 1:46:33 PM5 trades$8,1203 min
3/31/2026, 1:42:59 PM7 trades$7,5004 min
3/24/2026, 6:27:29 PM5 trades$7,2006 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-03
03-18
03-25
04-01
04-08
04-15
07-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 104 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.1/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L14 / M54.2 / H31.9