@rafaelobelo
#21,384630x7c6262edb5f79f43240600985f581614668306fc
~27d· 26 markets · 262 tradesVol: $93,3092026-09-21 18:03:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
63
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
42% (10/24)5.8/20
1.65x (win $23,160 / loss $14,070)10.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.31615/15
Sortino 8.53810/10
$+0.2664 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1374 (24 markets)5.6/10
8/17 profitable days (47%)4.3/10
Max DD 61% of peak ($5,914 / $9,704)1.8/10
Badges
1Profitable
PnL $+6,135
Categories
3🏛️ POLITICS#5,058$6,924Vol: $66,077
⚽ SPORTS#1,839,635$-567Vol: $24,441
🎭 CULTURE#801,977$-222Vol: $2,791
Overview
#1Net PnL
$6,135
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$93,309
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
26
total markets
Trades
50B / 212S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d
Periods
#2Today
$-321
Vol: $0
Week
$-190
Vol: $4,284
Month
$-969
Vol: $11,668
All Time
$6,135
Vol: $93,309
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
42%
10W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$6,135
Win Rate
42%
10W / 14L
Profit Factor
1.65x
Avg Win
$2,316
Avg Loss
$-1,082
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14,080 (2.2951999504443705% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$5,809
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$4,933
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$3,337
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$3,163
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1,650
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5$1,251
Colombia leading at halftime?$1,143
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$830
Brazil leading at halftime?$587
Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5$456
Top Losers
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-4,103
Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 0.5$-2,766
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)$-2,000
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$-1,082
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 0.5$-1,043
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$-942
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$-726
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5$-541
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?$-422
Spread: England (-1.5)$-243
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.219
Sortino
0.427
HHI
2445
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.215
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
42.5%
Top-5 markets
87%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
40.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
5.3h
between trades
Night Trading
40%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
41
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.4
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2441s — normal for humanCV 1.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)40% night trades — never sleeps13/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
11.58
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)6%
Mid (20-55c)42%
High (>55c)52%
Sessions
#127/27/2026, 7:30:13 AM13 trades$6,8121 min
6/7/2026, 10:17:27 PM9 trades$6,6301 min
9/18/2026, 8:04:55 PM6 trades$4,2790 min
6/9/2026, 9:58:58 PM6 trades$3,4600 min
8/1/2026, 4:04:29 AM2 trades$3,4230 min
6/23/2026, 1:17:04 AM2 trades$3,1710 min
8/25/2026, 5:51:45 AM8 trades$2,7470 min
6/23/2026, 4:31:49 AM2 trades$2,5660 min
7/29/2026, 11:09:15 PM7 trades$2,4970 min
6/23/2026, 1:30:47 AM9 trades$2,3390 min
5/30/2026, 11:20:46 PM2 trades$2,2420 min
7/25/2026, 9:17:18 PM13 trades$2,2300 min
6/8/2026, 1:28:52 AM9 trades$2,1470 min
7/15/2026, 9:31:46 PM20 trades$1,9890 min
7/29/2026, 6:38:42 PM10 trades$1,8631 min
6/20/2026, 12:22:46 AM2 trades$1,7800 min
5/8/2026, 9:17:23 PM11 trades$1,7481 min
9/13/2026, 3:36:39 AM17 trades$1,7241 min
6/24/2026, 10:16:46 PM5 trades$1,5630 min
6/17/2026, 5:40:25 AM2 trades$1,5480 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-08
06-07
06-17
06-20
06-23
06-28
07-19
08-01
09-13
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 41 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
80.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.58/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6 / M42 / H52