@ragutwo

#26,52223

0x7db8cfe928918e6f7f80a31d98757d97e743ed19

~218d· 553 markets · 4868 tradesVol: $192,1472026-08-05 16:41:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (134/493)0/20
1.06x (win $17,422 / loss $16,388)3.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.1833.4/15
Sortino 0.2152.1/10
$+0.0241 per $1 invested1.2/10
HHI 229 (493 markets)10/10
74/177 profitable days (42%)3/10
Max DD 746% of peak ($7,719 / $1,034)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+4,753
Lottery Player
32% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#6,170$5,159Vol: $140,098
⚽ SPORTS#242,295$17Vol: $23,999
📈 ECONOMICS#675,046$-423Vol: $16,892
💰 FINANCE#33,517$30Vol: $4,446
₿ CRYPTO#1,300,559$-25Vol: $2,589
🎭 CULTURE#32,174$47Vol: $2,062
💻 TECH#12,032$24Vol: $371
📢 MENTIONS#101,789$-3Vol: $64

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,756
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$192,147
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
553
total markets
Trades
2628B / 2240S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~218d

Periods

#2
Today
$-12
Vol: $2,385
Week
$3,500
Vol: $11,023
Month
$3,419
Vol: $11,874
All Time
$4,756
Vol: $192,147

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
134W / 359L events
Realized PnL
$4,753
Win Rate
27%
134W / 359L
Profit Factor
1.06x
Avg Win
$130
Avg Loss
$-50

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,810 (1.2224059824473916% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,709
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$1,613
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?$1,487
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$987
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$857
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?$768
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$649
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?$606
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?$595
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?$540

Top Losers

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$-6,698
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$-779
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$-512
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$-493
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-382
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$-340
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$-339
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?$-273
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$-240
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-232

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.009
Sortino
0.009
HHI
285
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.025
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.7%
Top-5 markets
28.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 813s — normal for humanCV 3.59 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.74
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)32.4%
Mid (20-55c)27.7%
High (>55c)39.9%

Sessions

#12
5/19/2026, 1:53:11 PM12 trades$3,5354 min
8/4/2026, 3:56:47 PM8 trades$2,3342 min
5/19/2026, 2:09:54 PM18 trades$2,1124 min
5/10/2026, 7:57:27 PM67 trades$1,33912 min
5/20/2026, 7:30:04 AM49 trades$1,3194 min
8/4/2026, 3:31:50 PM1 trades$1,1720 min
5/19/2026, 10:34:25 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/15/2026, 9:43:51 PM16 trades$8485 min
7/14/2026, 11:59:37 AM3 trades$7690 min
7/26/2026, 12:01:30 PM1 trades$6070 min
7/1/2026, 1:50:41 PM2 trades$5812 min
7/13/2026, 7:38:46 PM2 trades$5491 min
7/14/2026, 5:44:56 PM9 trades$5263 min
6/26/2026, 10:10:29 AM18 trades$50313 min
8/4/2026, 3:19:21 PM3 trades$4920 min
8/4/2026, 4:15:33 PM7 trades$4810 min
7/15/2026, 2:03:25 PM25 trades$4654 min
5/12/2026, 7:21:19 PM5 trades$4485 min
7/25/2026, 12:30:24 AM5 trades$4410 min
6/26/2026, 10:25:01 PM14 trades$4324 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-16
04-09
07-03
04-16
05-24
06-30
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 40 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.74/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L32.4 / M27.7 / H39.9