@rainy59

#2,909,6862

0xe85845a5bf472014325ed44482aa0cbc92f05bc6

~50d· 29 markets · 825 tradesVol: $524,3792026-08-04 18:54:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

2
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

18% (3/17)0/20
0.00x (win $6 / loss $3,208)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -12.7280/15
Sortino -10.5920/10
$-0.2081 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2026 (17 markets)2.4/10
1/14 profitable days (7%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($3,203 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
75% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
📈 ECONOMICS#671,488$-269Vol: $424,890
💰 FINANCE#649,932$-501Vol: $57,563
🏛️ POLITICS#1,553,651$-171Vol: $23,459
💻 TECH#6,377$89Vol: $15,468
🌤️ WEATHER#243,309$-10Vol: $3,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-861
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$524,379
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
29
total markets
Trades
389B / 436S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~50d

Periods

#2
Today
$-13
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $0
Month
$14
Vol: $0
All Time
$-861
Vol: $524,379

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
18%
3W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$-861
Win Rate
18%
3W / 14L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-267

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6 (0.006459257882385743% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?$4
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1

Top Losers

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$-1,285
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$-632
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?$-372
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in July?$-271
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-248
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-200
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 in July?$-100
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-59
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$-25
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.642
Sortino
-0.601
HHI
3260
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.182
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
46.4%
Top-5 markets
103.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.50
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 167s — normal for humanCV 4.49 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
49.82
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)74.8%
Mid (20-55c)3.1%
High (>55c)22.1%

Sessions

#12
4/15/2026, 11:51:46 PM4 trades$5,0003 min
4/18/2026, 12:31:26 PM21 trades$2,9868 min
5/9/2026, 6:31:16 PM14 trades$2,5664 min
4/14/2026, 4:21:23 AM12 trades$2,5242 min
6/26/2026, 12:34:08 AM9 trades$2,0396 min
5/8/2026, 6:26:20 AM2 trades$2,0000 min
5/10/2026, 7:56:58 AM7 trades$1,7001 min
4/21/2026, 6:22:18 PM18 trades$1,6240 min
4/28/2026, 4:27:32 AM3 trades$1,5370 min
4/27/2026, 4:26:10 PM34 trades$1,3316 min
4/21/2026, 1:06:10 PM10 trades$1,2010 min
6/18/2026, 2:00:49 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/9/2026, 1:49:38 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
4/21/2026, 12:39:36 PM18 trades$9913 min
6/29/2026, 8:29:38 PM8 trades$9152 min
4/7/2026, 8:33:55 AM4 trades$9060 min
4/24/2026, 4:34:30 PM11 trades$9053 min
6/26/2026, 12:47:40 AM2 trades$9000 min
7/11/2026, 6:47:10 PM5 trades$7172 min
5/7/2026, 6:09:47 AM13 trades$6851 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-15
04-24
05-07
06-15
06-28
07-01
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 49.82/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L74.8 / M3.1 / H22.1