rando12345

@rando12345

#7,09583

0xb401123e33dbbe1d575c4ee4f30c714a2819df2a

~292d· 411 markets · 7584 tradesVol: $1,717,3812026-08-04 14:06:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

83
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

66% (222/335)18.1/20
1.67x (win $57,565 / loss $34,435)10.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.12615/15
Sortino 8.18010/10
$+0.0352 per $1 invested1.8/10
HHI 179 (335 markets)10/10
88/149 profitable days (59%)7.3/10
Max DD 15% of peak ($4,059 / $27,188)10/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 66%
Profitable
PnL $+22,173
DCA Master
Avg 17.8 entries/market
Whale
$657,975 invested
High Roller
$1,828/day
Cool Head
Max DD 15%
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
CRYPTO#5,312$9,473Vol: $578,552
🏛️ POLITICS#3,911$9,660Vol: $510,499
🎭 CULTURE#2,138$3,310Vol: $285,631
📈 ECONOMICS#1,883$2,136Vol: $128,154
💻 TECH#257,450$-1,030Vol: $45,964
SPORTS#85,108$214Vol: $22,739
💰 FINANCE#650,433$-528Vol: $21,625

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$22,362
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,717,381
Total Redeem
$250
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
411
total markets
Trades
4657B / 2927S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~292d

Periods

#2
Today
$172
Vol: $0
Week
$170
Vol: $2,239
Month
$494
Vol: $4,987
All Time
$22,362
Vol: $1,717,381

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
66%
222W / 113L events
Realized PnL
$22,173
Win Rate
66%
222W / 113L
Profit Factor
1.67x
Avg Win
$259
Avg Loss
$-322

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $22,185 (1.000516836653009% of PnL)

Top Winners

Ethereum all time high by September 30?$11,040
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–2.50 in March?$6,082
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 and 1,500,000 voters?$5,063
Will Ethereum reach $5000 August 25–31?$4,402
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 600,000 and 900,000 voters?$3,920
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$2,300
Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$1,891
Ethereum all time high by October 31?$1,527
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?$1,198
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$1,062

Top Losers

Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September?$-10,237
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?$-4,182
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?$-2,932
Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$-1,816
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$-1,581
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?$-1,153
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?$-790
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in August?$-577
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?$-555
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 29-January 4?$-499

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.163
Sortino
0.300
HHI
140
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.040
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.8%
Top-5 markets
18.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
21.1
Active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
27.0

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 198s — normal for humanCV 4.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock21 trades/day — high frequency1.1 markets/day — normal68% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.82
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.5%
Mid (20-55c)21.8%
High (>55c)54.6%

Sessions

#12
10/10/2025, 6:53:34 AM5 trades$35,8203 min
1/5/2026, 12:39:31 AM3 trades$33,1064 min
4/9/2026, 5:51:43 PM340 trades$23,521104 min
5/8/2026, 9:41:11 PM15 trades$21,8214 min
4/10/2026, 12:31:01 PM77 trades$20,10011 min
4/9/2026, 4:55:25 PM68 trades$16,00427 min
4/8/2026, 12:10:25 AM3 trades$14,7094 min
4/28/2026, 10:50:08 AM20 trades$14,2317 min
4/9/2026, 5:27:47 PM70 trades$12,78918 min
1/30/2026, 5:10:46 PM49 trades$12,11119 min
10/29/2025, 12:48:05 AM14 trades$10,21116 min
12/28/2025, 5:07:29 PM2 trades$9,9501 min
10/10/2025, 7:18:26 PM8 trades$9,66113 min
2/18/2026, 12:49:47 AM1 trades$9,6000 min
2/17/2026, 11:04:49 PM1 trades$9,5100 min
9/22/2025, 12:17:12 PM1 trades$8,7980 min
5/3/2026, 1:20:36 AM53 trades$8,12318 min
8/25/2025, 2:36:45 PM18 trades$7,66919 min
5/3/2026, 12:02:48 AM155 trades$7,66439 min
11/28/2025, 7:17:07 AM1 trades$6,9800 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-09
10-30
12-04
01-12
02-15
04-23
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 38 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.82/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23.5 / M21.8 / H54.6