@randomlypunting
#3,073,753360xaec38658ae47a6aabe8839f40e6d7da7996222df
~245d· 1190 markets · 6335 tradesVol: $6,230,7822026-08-04 21:04:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
68% (773/1129)19.2/20
0.46x (win $215,188 / loss $468,049)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4460/15
Sortino -1.4560/10
$-0.1521 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 240 (1129 markets)10/10
116/210 profitable days (55%)6.3/10
Max DD 1958% of peak ($290,287 / $14,823)0/10
Badges
7Sniper
Win rate 68%
Lottery Player
30% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 5.6 entries/market
Whale
$1,662,291 invested
High Roller
$4,469/day
Win Streak
18 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#1,642,118$-103,294Vol: $4,534,235
📈 ECONOMICS#820$6,904Vol: $622,781
⚽ SPORTS#1,877,715$-10,642Vol: $318,286
₿ CRYPTO#1,675,308$-20,008Vol: $287,747
🎭 CULTURE#545$14,985Vol: $271,096
💰 FINANCE#965$5,678Vol: $119,370
📢 MENTIONS#174,945$-946Vol: $29,545
🌤️ WEATHER#298,396$-1,579Vol: $24,885
💻 TECH#256,119$-504Vol: $12,890
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-109,556
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,230,782
Total Redeem
$44,731
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1190
total markets
Trades
4526B / 1809S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~245d
Periods
#2Today
$-212
Vol: $0
Week
$-457
Vol: $0
Month
$-615
Vol: $671
All Time
$-109,556
Vol: $6,230,782
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
68%
773W / 356L events
Realized PnL
$-109,556
Win Rate
68%
773W / 356L
Profit Factor
0.46x
Avg Win
$278
Avg Loss
$-1,369
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $43,500 (0.3970592020627262% of PnL)
Top Winners
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$19,798
US strikes Iraq by February 28?$13,455
Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?$10,247
Will LaGuardia Airport (LGA) be open to departures by 2:00 PM ET on March 23, 2026?$8,114
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$6,815
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$6,752
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$6,620
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5,721
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$5,319
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$3,673
Top Losers
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-225,832
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$-28,632
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?$-14,293
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$-13,042
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$-8,021
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$-7,993
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 2.5$-7,713
Will PSV win on 2026-03-22?$-7,000
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?$-6,985
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-6,643
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.075
Sortino
-0.051
HHI
404
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.132
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.4%
Top-5 markets
30.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
17.0
Active
Markets / Day
3.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.1
Bot Detection
#625
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 162s — normal for humanCV 4.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock17 trades/day — very active3.2 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.58
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)30%
Mid (20-55c)15%
High (>55c)55%
Sessions
#124/21/2026, 4:50:36 PM4 trades$76,9940 min
11/4/2025, 4:16:33 PM1 trades$59,9000 min
12/3/2025, 9:24:29 AM16 trades$49,04625 min
5/13/2026, 2:56:54 PM7 trades$40,6494 min
11/12/2025, 3:49:52 PM11 trades$33,53926 min
3/6/2026, 2:13:49 AM1 trades$26,2430 min
4/12/2026, 1:46:33 AM21 trades$21,5220 min
4/8/2026, 12:18:03 AM87 trades$21,4535 min
4/8/2026, 12:34:37 AM66 trades$20,5226 min
11/7/2025, 12:27:59 AM3 trades$20,0134 min
12/1/2025, 5:07:20 AM12 trades$19,77115 min
12/8/2025, 7:12:23 AM20 trades$19,71717 min
4/21/2026, 3:34:18 PM41 trades$17,8773 min
3/31/2026, 7:25:03 PM11 trades$17,8317 min
5/11/2026, 4:36:16 PM35 trades$17,46513 min
3/6/2026, 3:33:15 PM8 trades$16,70610 min
5/9/2026, 10:29:28 AM12 trades$15,6774 min
3/23/2026, 7:22:35 PM9 trades$15,11212 min
2/28/2026, 11:49:47 PM4 trades$14,8953 min
10/15/2025, 6:27:13 PM1 trades$14,8530 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-26
11-26
01-11
02-20
03-29
05-15
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 150 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.58/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L30 / M15 / H55