@raphaelfla
#109,15590x4aa98fd14c3668f91b0af8b274a07148757dcfc3
~140d· 53 markets · 1827 tradesVol: $384,5032026-09-21 20:14:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
24% (8/33)0/20
0.40x (win $576 / loss $1,426)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.8640/15
Sortino -6.1530/10
$-0.0575 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 733 (33 markets)8.8/10
6/23 profitable days (26%)0/10
Max DD 448% of peak ($1,094 / $244)0/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+339
Lottery Player
77% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
72% maker orders
Categories
4⚽ SPORTS#57,098$487Vol: $223,581
🏛️ POLITICS#59,416$117Vol: $156,187
💰 FINANCE#632,358$-70Vol: $4,135
📈 ECONOMICS#53,992$6Vol: $600
Overview
#1Net PnL
$540
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$384,503
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
53
total markets
Trades
1101B / 726S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~140d
Periods
#2Today
$8
Vol: $0
Week
$10
Vol: $0
Month
$-95
Vol: $7,622
All Time
$540
Vol: $384,503
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
24%
8W / 25L events
Realized PnL
$339
Win Rate
24%
8W / 25L
Profit Factor
0.4x
Avg Win
$72
Avg Loss
$-68
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $490 (1.4444673823286542% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$282
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$119
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$89
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$31
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?$24
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$15
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?$11
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?$6
Top Losers
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-415
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-284
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$-132
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-80
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-79
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-75
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-64
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$-64
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-54
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-42
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.300
Sortino
-0.316
HHI
88
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.179
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.1%
Top-5 markets
16.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
6.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.9
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 530s — normal for humanCV 2.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal72% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
11.27
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)77.3%
Mid (20-55c)11.7%
High (>55c)11%
Sessions
#126/28/2026, 2:32:02 PM55 trades$1,5265 min
2/24/2026, 4:02:08 PM4 trades$9451 min
12/16/2025, 12:55:01 PM14 trades$89219 min
4/17/2026, 7:14:34 PM8 trades$7670 min
5/27/2026, 5:07:35 PM13 trades$7280 min
4/4/2026, 8:01:47 PM20 trades$6240 min
6/12/2026, 6:18:43 PM36 trades$6170 min
3/28/2026, 6:44:55 AM5 trades$59311 min
6/13/2026, 6:21:51 PM21 trades$5881 min
5/20/2026, 8:35:42 PM12 trades$5800 min
6/23/2026, 8:58:41 PM20 trades$5702 min
12/9/2025, 10:28:00 PM2 trades$5285 min
6/22/2026, 2:14:47 PM15 trades$4960 min
5/27/2026, 5:26:24 PM2 trades$4920 min
12/12/2025, 2:14:32 PM9 trades$4507 min
4/21/2026, 1:22:00 PM9 trades$4440 min
6/28/2026, 3:25:47 PM18 trades$4150 min
5/20/2026, 4:44:46 PM4 trades$4030 min
2/27/2026, 12:40:15 PM1 trades$3590 min
2/25/2026, 1:44:20 PM1 trades$3540 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-08
02-19
03-10
04-12
04-20
05-22
06-08
06-25
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 74 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.27/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L77.3 / M11.7 / H11