@rarthurs
#2,157,60760xb80b0a60a6859c05b8d362fe0eb3f8a921980d19
~28d· 30 markets · 68 tradesVol: $17,3292026-09-21 20:10:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
6
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
23% (6/26)0/20
0.80x (win $226 / loss $283)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8850/15
Sortino -1.5460/10
$-0.0052 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1226 (26 markets)6.4/10
5/24 profitable days (21%)0/10
Max DD 345% of peak ($173 / $50)0/10
Categories
3⚽ SPORTS#1,443,582$-17Vol: $8,247
🏛️ POLITICS#1,193,888$-6Vol: $7,767
₿ CRYPTO#877,017$-1Vol: $1,315
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-24
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,329
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
30
total markets
Trades
38B / 30S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~28d
Periods
#2Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-24
Vol: $17,329
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
23%
6W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$-22
Win Rate
23%
6W / 20L
Profit Factor
0.8x
Avg Win
$38
Avg Loss
$-16
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $216 (9.718018018018018% of PnL)
Top Winners
Jets vs. Maple Leafs$105
Chiefs vs. Steelers$98
Buccaneers vs. Falcons$12
Diamondbacks vs. Tigers$9
MLB All-Star Game$2
Will XRP reach $4.0 in June?$0
Top Losers
Hawks vs. Spurs$-103
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$-81
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers$-39
WNBA: Liberty vs. Aces Game 3$-28
Buccaneers vs. Texans$-26
Democrats win popular vote by 2-3%?$-2
Democrats win popular vote by 5-6%?$-2
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by February 28, 2025?$-1
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 President’s Trophy?$-1
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$-0
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.045
Sortino
-0.075
HHI
4
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.098
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.4%
Top-5 markets
4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.7h
between trades
Avg Gap
7.0h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
46
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 17092s — normal for humanCV 1.56 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 9:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
1.58
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)10.5%
Mid (20-55c)26.3%
High (>55c)63.2%
Sessions
#128/15/2026, 9:08:58 AM8 trades$2,0483 min
8/15/2026, 10:46:07 AM5 trades$2,0432 min
8/14/2026, 3:59:55 PM6 trades$2,0283 min
8/14/2026, 7:02:33 PM2 trades$1,0250 min
8/15/2026, 1:02:13 PM2 trades$1,0200 min
8/13/2026, 3:34:48 PM2 trades$1,0170 min
8/14/2026, 6:56:36 PM2 trades$1,0110 min
12/23/2024, 10:15:10 PM1 trades$1470 min
12/19/2024, 9:17:36 AM1 trades$1030 min
7/10/2026, 2:43:10 PM2 trades$1020 min
12/23/2024, 1:43:46 AM1 trades$1020 min
12/13/2024, 9:41:15 AM1 trades$390 min
10/4/2024, 10:42:29 AM1 trades$280 min
9/15/2025, 6:26:32 AM1 trades$260 min
10/3/2024, 1:31:05 PM1 trades$140 min
7/29/2025, 7:09:29 AM2 trades$123 min
4/17/2025, 7:46:35 AM1 trades$50 min
5/14/2025, 3:22:12 AM1 trades$50 min
5/14/2025, 8:07:04 AM1 trades$50 min
4/17/2025, 1:28:40 PM1 trades$50 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-03
12-19
04-03
04-17
05-08
07-14
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 77 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.58/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.5 / M26.3 / H63.2